IA19XBR15 25.1128 23H05 YHFI OIL_BRENT 15min.csv

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Δ1m-1.2%Δ3m-4.2%Δ1y-4.2%

Ranking proba×distance — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	Score proba/dist	EV	n
P	62.3	70%	0.2667	0.3018	0.2689	50
FIB38	62.26	69%	0.3455	0.2524	0.3308	50
FIB50	62.4	69%	0.3500	0.2502	0.3136	50
FIB24	62.08	67%	0.4600	0.2029	0.3922	50
FIB62	62.54	65%	0.4826	0.1907	0.3274	50
PCT_99	62.37	65%	0.5245	0.1797	0.3918	50
FIB79	62.74	57%	0.4790	0.1684	0.3949	50
PCT_98	61.74	70%	0.6380	0.1666	0.4438	50
R1	62.8	51%	0.7500	0.1070	0.4693	50
S1	61.6	53%	0.8167	0.1035	0.4485	50
PCT_97	61.11	45%	1.2100	0.0642	0.4216	50
R2	63.5	23%	1.7500	0.0240	0.3619	50
S2	61.1	20%	1.7167	0.0210	0.2677	50
PCT_95	59.85	16%	2.4950	0.0122	0.2489	50
S3	60.4	8%	2.7833	0.0055	0.1176	50
R3	64	7%	2.7667	0.0045	0.0510	50
PCT_90	56.7	5%	5.6700	0.0017	0.1545	50
PCT_85	53.55	5%	8.8350	0.0011	0.3212	50
PCT_80	50.4	5%	12.0700	0.0008	0.4879	50

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	Score proba/dist	EV	n
P	62.3	70%	0.7000	0.1565	0.2689	50
FIB38	62.26	69%	0.7270	0.1485	0.3308	50
FIB50	62.4	69%	0.7500	0.1448	0.3136	50
PCT_98	61.74	70%	0.8090	0.1384	0.4438	50
FIB62	62.54	65%	0.7641	0.1350	0.3274	50
FIB24	62.08	67%	0.8248	0.1307	0.3922	50
PCT_99	62.37	65%	0.8440	0.1247	0.3918	50
FIB79	62.74	57%	1.0113	0.0944	0.3949	50
S1	61.6	53%	1.0333	0.0853	0.4485	50
R1	62.8	51%	1.1000	0.0782	0.4693	50
PCT_97	61.11	45%	1.0075	0.0750	0.4216	50
R2	63.5	23%	2.0833	0.0205	0.3619	50
S2	61.1	20%	1.8500	0.0197	0.2677	50
PCT_95	59.85	16%	2.0500	0.0146	0.2489	50
S3	60.4	8%	2.7833	0.0055	0.1176	50
R3	64	7%	3.0667	0.0041	0.0510	50
PCT_90	56.7	5%	5.3100	0.0018	0.1545	50
PCT_85	53.55	5%	8.5725	0.0011	0.3212	50
PCT_80	50.4	5%	11.7300	0.0008	0.4879	50

Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)									Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	00:00 (20%)	07:30 (10%)	08:30 (10%)	08:45 (10%)	09:30 (10%)	11:45 (10%)	14:15 (10%)	18:15 (10%)	21:00 (10%)	15:00 (20%)	00:30 (10%)	01:00 (10%)	06:00 (10%)	10:00 (10%)	10:30 (10%)	12:15 (10%)	17:30 (10%)	19:30 (10%)
Mardi	00:00 (20%)	02:15 (20%)	17:15 (20%)	03:15 (10%)	07:45 (10%)	18:30 (10%)	19:00 (10%)			06:00 (10%)	08:00 (10%)	08:45 (10%)	09:30 (10%)	11:00 (10%)	12:45 (10%)	14:00 (10%)	15:00 (10%)	16:00 (10%)
Mercredi	00:00 (20%)	10:15 (10%)	10:30 (10%)	14:00 (10%)	14:45 (10%)	17:15 (10%)	20:15 (10%)	20:30 (10%)	21:45 (10%)	00:00 (10%)	03:00 (10%)	09:15 (10%)	10:30 (10%)	14:00 (10%)	15:15 (10%)	15:30 (10%)	17:30 (10%)	18:00 (10%)
Jeudi	02:00 (20%)	09:45 (10%)	10:15 (10%)	11:15 (10%)	14:30 (10%)	16:30 (10%)	18:00 (10%)	18:30 (10%)	20:45 (10%)	02:00 (10%)	02:30 (10%)	10:15 (10%)	14:00 (10%)	15:30 (10%)	16:30 (10%)	18:00 (10%)	18:15 (10%)	19:15 (10%)
Vendredi	14:00 (18%)	00:00 (9%)	01:00 (9%)	02:45 (9%)	09:00 (9%)	10:45 (9%)	11:15 (9%)	16:00 (9%)	17:00 (9%)	00:00 (18%)	03:45 (9%)	11:00 (9%)	11:15 (9%)	11:30 (9%)	11:45 (9%)	15:30 (9%)	17:30 (9%)	18:45 (9%)

Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
06:15	100%	10	10
06:30	100%	10	10
07:00	100%	10	10
07:15	100%	10	10
07:30	100%	10	10
08:45	100%	10	10
09:30	100%	10	10
09:45	100%	10	10
11:30	100%	10	10
11:45	100%	10	10

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	10	10
01:00	100%	10	10
02:00	100%	10	10
02:45	100%	10	10
03:00	100%	10	10
03:15	100%	10	10
10:30	100%	10	10
10:45	100%	10	10
11:00	100%	10	10
00:15	100%	8	8

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	10	10
05:00	100%	10	10
05:15	100%	10	10
06:00	100%	10	10
06:15	100%	10	10
06:30	100%	9	9
01:00	90%	10	9
02:15	90%	10	9
02:45	90%	10	9
03:00	90%	10	9

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	10	10
02:15	100%	10	10
02:30	100%	10	10
02:45	100%	10	10
00:15	100%	9	9
01:00	100%	9	9
01:30	100%	9	9
03:45	100%	9	9
06:45	100%	9	9
11:00	100%	9	9

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
02:15	100%	9	9
05:45	100%	9	9
06:15	100%	9	9
06:30	100%	9	9
06:45	100%	9	9
07:00	100%	9	9
07:15	100%	9	9
07:30	100%	9	9
07:45	100%	9	9
08:00	100%	9	9

Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
00:00	83% 03:00 03:30 15:30	100% 03:00 03:15 04:15 09:30	100% 03:00 04:00	100% 03:00 03:15 08:30	89% 03:00 06:00 06:15	—	—
00:15	83% 03:30 03:15 15:30 03:45	100% 03:30 03:15 04:00 09:45 04:15	89% 03:15 03:30 04:00 03:45	100% 03:15 09:00 03:45	83% 03:15	—	—
00:30	86% 03:30 14:15 11:30 03:45	100% 03:30 09:45 03:45 04:00 09:30	88% 03:30 10:15 03:45	90% 03:30 09:00 03:45 09:15	88% 03:30	—	—
00:45	86% 03:45 14:15 09:45	100% 03:45 04:00	88% 03:45 04:00 04:15	100% 03:45 09:00 04:30 04:00 09:15	83% 03:45	—	—
01:00	86% 04:00 14:15 04:15 11:30	100% 04:00 06:45 04:15 09:30	90% 04:00 09:30 10:15 04:30	100% 04:00 08:30 04:30 09:00 09:15 06:00	89% 04:00 04:15 05:30	—	—
01:15	100% 04:15 14:15 04:45	100% 04:15	89% 04:15 04:45 10:15	100% 04:15 04:30 08:00 09:15 06:00	88% 04:15 06:00	—	—
01:30	100% 04:30 14:00	100% 04:30	83% 04:30	100% 04:30 08:00 17:45	100% 04:30 09:45	—	—
01:45	100% 04:45 14:00 09:45 05:00	100% 04:45 06:00	80% 04:45 10:15 05:30 05:00	90% 04:45 08:00	78% 04:45 05:30 05:00 05:15	—	—
02:00	100% 05:00 05:15 14:00 08:15	100% 05:00 06:45 06:00 09:30	80% 05:00 10:15 05:30	90% 05:00 05:15 09:15	89% 05:00 07:45 06:15	—	—
02:15	100% 05:15 14:00 05:30	90% 05:15 09:45 05:45 06:45 06:00 06:15 09:15 05:30	90% 05:15 05:30 10:15	100% 05:15 06:45 17:45 05:45 09:30	100% 05:15 12:45 06:30 06:00	—	—
02:30	100% 05:30	90% 05:30 09:45 05:45 06:45 07:00 09:15	88% 05:30 10:15 05:45	100% 05:30 05:45 06:45 17:45 09:15	89% 05:45 05:30 14:30 07:00 06:30 06:00	—	—
02:45	100% 05:45 08:15	100% 05:45 06:00 06:45 07:00	90% 05:45 10:30 07:00 06:15 07:45	100% 05:45 08:00 17:45 09:15	89% 05:45 14:30 06:00 07:00 11:15	—	—
03:00	100% 06:00 08:15	100% 06:00 07:30 09:15	90% 06:00 06:15 07:00	90% 06:00 06:30 06:15 08:00 17:45 10:15	89% 06:00 06:15 11:45 10:45	—	—
03:15	100% 06:15 06:30 08:15	100% 06:15 06:45	78% 06:15 06:30	90% 06:15 08:00 12:00 07:15 10:15 06:30	89% 06:15 11:45 10:45	—	—
03:30	100% 06:30 07:15 07:00 09:30	90% 06:30 06:45 09:00 09:15	90% 06:30 06:45	90% 06:30 07:00 06:45 07:15 10:15	89% 06:30 12:45 10:45	—	—
03:45	100% 06:45 07:00 07:15 08:15	90% 06:45 07:30 09:15 07:00	90% 06:45	100% 06:45 07:00 12:00 10:15	89% 06:45 07:00 11:45 10:45	—	—
04:00	100% 07:00 07:15	90% 07:00 09:15 07:15 07:30	90% 07:00 07:45 07:15 08:00 07:30	90% 07:00 12:00 10:15	88% 07:00 12:45 08:45 10:45	—	—
04:15	100% 07:15 09:15 10:45	90% 07:15 09:15 07:30 08:45	90% 07:15 07:30 07:45	90% 07:15 12:00 10:15	89% 07:15 12:45 07:45 10:45	—	—
04:30	100% 07:30 09:15 10:45	89% 07:30 09:30 09:15	90% 07:30 07:45	90% 07:30 12:00 10:15	89% 07:30 12:45 07:45	—	—
04:45	100% 07:45 10:45	89% 07:45 08:00 09:00 09:15	89% 07:45	90% 07:45 12:00 10:15	88% 07:45 12:45	—	—
05:00	100% 08:00 09:15	90% 08:00 09:00 09:15 08:15	100% 08:00 09:15	90% 08:00 12:00 10:15 08:15	89% 08:00 09:30 08:15	—	—
05:15	100% 08:15 09:15	88% 08:15 09:00 17:00 09:15	100% 08:15 10:30 09:15	80% 08:15 12:00 10:15	89% 08:15 11:45	—	—
05:30	100% 08:30 10:45	90% 08:30 09:00 17:00 09:15	89% 08:30 10:30 09:00	78% 08:30 12:00 10:15	100% 08:30 09:30 10:00	—	—
05:45	100% 08:45 10:45 09:45	100% 08:45 09:00 09:15	90% 08:45 09:00 10:30	80% 08:45 12:00 10:15	100% 08:45 09:30 10:00	—	—
06:00	89% 09:00 10:45 09:45	90% 09:00 09:15	100% 09:00 09:30 09:15 10:30	89% 09:00 12:00	100% 09:00 09:45	—	—
06:15	100% 09:15 09:45	90% 09:15 17:00	100% 09:15 10:15 09:30 10:30	89% 09:15 12:00 09:30 11:00	100% 09:15 09:30 09:45 13:00	—	—
06:30	100% 09:30 10:45 11:30 09:45	80% 09:30 11:00 10:00	100% 09:30 10:15 10:30	88% 09:30 12:00 11:00	100% 09:30 13:00 10:15	—	—
06:45	100% 09:45 10:30 11:30 10:15	78% 09:45 10:00 11:00	90% 09:45	100% 09:45 12:00 10:00	100% 09:45 10:15	—	—
07:00	100% 10:00 10:15 13:45 17:00	78% 10:00 10:30 15:45	89% 10:00 10:15 10:30	89% 10:00 12:00	100% 10:00 13:00 10:15	—	—
07:15	100% 10:15 17:00 12:45	80% 10:15 11:00 10:30 15:30	90% 10:15 10:30	89% 10:15 12:00 10:30	100% 10:15 13:00	—	—
07:30	100% 10:30 17:00 12:45	89% 10:30 11:00 10:45 15:45	90% 10:30	89% 10:30 11:00 12:00	100% 10:30 13:00	—	—
07:45	78% 10:45 12:45	89% 10:45 15:45 11:00 13:00	90% 10:45 12:30	89% 10:45 11:00 12:00	100% 10:45 11:30 12:45 12:15	—	—
08:00	80% 11:00 12:45 12:30	80% 11:00 20:45 13:45 15:45	80% 11:00 12:30 12:00	89% 11:00 11:15 12:00	100% 11:00 12:45 11:15	—	—
08:15	90% 11:15 13:30 12:15 12:45 11:30	80% 11:15 15:45 12:30 20:45 11:30	70% 11:15 12:30 12:45	78% 11:15 13:00 12:00	100% 11:15 12:45 11:30 12:00	—	—
08:30	90% 11:30 13:30 13:00 12:45 15:00 20:45	70% 11:30 12:30 20:45 15:15 15:30	70% 11:30 12:30 12:45	78% 11:30 13:15 12:00	100% 11:30 13:00 12:45	—	—
08:45	100% 11:45 12:45 12:15 15:00 20:45	80% 11:45 15:15 12:30 13:00 15:30	80% 11:45 12:15 12:45	78% 11:45 12:00 13:15	100% 11:45 16:00 12:30 12:45	—	—
09:00	80% 12:00 12:30 12:15 12:45 15:00	80% 12:00 15:30 12:15 20:45 13:45	70% 12:00 12:15 12:45	89% 12:00 12:45 14:30 13:00	100% 12:00 16:00 12:30 12:45	—	—
09:15	90% 12:15 12:30 12:45 15:00 20:45	90% 12:15 15:30 13:45	90% 12:15 12:30	78% 12:15 15:00 13:15 12:30	89% 12:15 12:30 12:45	—	—
09:30	100% 12:30 12:45 13:00 20:45	90% 12:30 13:45 15:15 15:30 15:00	70% 12:30	78% 12:30 15:00 13:15	89% 12:30 13:00 12:45	—	—
09:45	100% 12:45 13:00 20:45	80% 12:45 13:45 15:15 15:30 15:00	70% 12:45	78% 12:45 15:00 13:15	89% 12:45 13:00	—	—
10:00	90% 13:00 20:45	90% 13:00 13:45 15:30 15:00	70% 13:00 15:00 13:45	67% 13:00 15:00 13:30	89% 13:00	—	—
10:15	90% 13:15 15:00	90% 13:15 13:45 15:30 15:00	70% 13:15 15:15 14:45	67% 13:15 13:45 13:30	89% 13:15 15:15	—	—
10:30	90% 13:30 19:00 13:45 20:45	100% 13:30 13:45 15:15 15:00	90% 13:30 15:00 16:45 13:45	78% 13:30 14:00 13:45	67% 13:30 15:15	—	—
10:45	90% 13:45 15:45 19:45 20:30 14:00	100% 13:45 15:00	90% 13:45 15:00 17:00	78% 13:45 14:00 15:00	67% 13:45 17:15 14:00	—	—
11:00	90% 14:00 17:15 15:45 16:15 15:00	100% 14:00 15:00 14:30	80% 14:00 14:15 15:00 16:45 14:45 17:00	100% 14:00 15:30 15:00 19:30	67% 14:00 16:15 14:45	—	—
11:15	90% 14:15 15:45 16:15 14:45 15:00	90% 14:15 14:45 14:30 15:15	80% 14:15 14:45 16:15 16:30	100% 14:15 14:30 16:45	67% 14:15 16:15 15:00 16:30	—	—
11:30	100% 14:30 16:45 15:45 16:15 19:45 14:45 15:15	90% 14:30 14:45 15:00	80% 14:30 14:45 16:45 17:00	100% 14:30 16:45	67% 14:30 15:15 16:45	—	—
11:45	100% 14:45 16:45 15:45 16:15 19:45 15:30 15:00	90% 14:45 15:30 15:00	80% 14:45 16:45 16:30	100% 14:45 15:30 16:45	56% 14:45 16:45 15:00	—	—
12:00	100% 15:00 16:30 15:45 16:15 19:45	90% 15:00 15:30 15:15	80% 15:00 16:15 16:30	89% 15:00 15:30 16:30	67% 15:00 16:45	—	—
12:15	90% 15:15 15:45 16:00 15:30	90% 15:15 15:30 18:15	70% 15:15 18:15 15:30 16:15	89% 15:15 15:30 16:00 16:30	67% 15:15 16:45	—	—
12:30	100% 15:30 15:45 16:00 17:15	90% 15:30 18:15 17:00	70% 15:30 18:15 16:45 16:30	89% 15:30 16:00 16:30	78% 15:30 16:00	—	—
12:45	100% 15:45 16:00 17:15	80% 15:45 18:15 17:00 17:30	90% 15:45 18:15 16:00 16:15 17:00 16:30 22:30	89% 15:45 16:00 17:00 16:30	78% 15:45 16:00	—	—
13:00	100% 16:00 16:30	90% 16:00 16:30 18:15 16:45 17:30	90% 16:00 17:15 16:45 16:15 17:30 17:00	78% 16:00	78% 16:00 22:45	—	—
13:15	100% 16:15 16:30	90% 16:15 16:45 16:30 17:30 18:15 18:00	90% 16:15 17:15 16:30	78% 16:15	67% 16:15 19:00 16:30	—	—
13:30	100% 16:30 17:00	90% 16:30 16:45 17:15	90% 16:30 17:15	67% 16:30	67% 16:30 19:00	—	—
13:45	100% 16:45 17:00 18:45 17:15	90% 16:45 17:15 17:00	90% 16:45 17:15 17:00	67% 16:45	78% 16:45 18:15 22:00	—	—
14:00	100% 17:00 18:45 17:15	90% 17:00 17:30 17:15	80% 17:00 18:15 22:30	78% 17:00	67% 17:00 22:00 18:00	—	—
14:15	100% 17:15 18:45 18:15	80% 17:15	80% 17:15 18:00	89% 17:15 21:15	67% 17:15 20:45 18:00 22:45	—	—
14:30	80% 17:30 18:45	80% 17:30 17:45 18:30	70% 17:30 18:00	44% 17:30	78% 17:30 19:00 22:00	—	—
14:45	80% 17:45 18:15 18:45	80% 17:45	80% 17:45 18:00 18:30	56% 17:45 19:30	78% 17:45 18:00 19:00	—	—
15:00	90% 18:00 18:15 18:30	90% 18:00 19:30 19:15 18:15 21:30 21:00	80% 18:00 18:15 18:30	56% 18:00 18:45	89% 18:00 20:15 20:00	—	—
15:15	80% 18:15 18:45	90% 18:15 19:15 18:45	70% 18:15 18:45 22:45 18:30	44% 18:15 18:45	89% 18:15 19:00 20:15 20:00	—	—
15:30	80% 18:30 18:45	80% 18:30 19:15 19:00	50% 18:30 22:45	44% 18:30	80% 18:30 19:00 20:15	—	—
15:45	90% 18:45 19:15	70% 18:45 19:00 19:45 21:30 19:30	60% 18:45 22:45	44% 18:45	90% 18:45 20:15 19:15 20:00	—	—
16:00	90% 19:00 19:15	70% 19:00 21:30	70% 19:00 19:45 22:30	56% 19:00	80% 19:00 19:30 20:00	—	—
16:15	80% 19:15	70% 19:15 19:45 21:30	70% 19:15 20:00 22:30	33% 19:15	80% 19:15 19:30	—	—
16:30	70% 19:30	60% 19:30 20:00 21:30	80% 19:30 20:45 22:30	56% 19:30 20:00	80% 19:30	—	—
16:45	60% 19:45 20:15	70% 19:45 21:30	70% 19:45 20:00 21:15	67% 19:45 20:00	80% 19:45 20:15	—	—
17:00	60% 20:00 20:15	80% 20:00 21:30	70% 20:00 20:15	56% 20:00	80% 20:00 20:15	—	—
17:15	80% 20:15	90% 20:15 20:45 21:30	80% 20:15 21:15	44% 20:15	60% 20:15	—	—
17:30	70% 20:30	80% 20:30	70% 20:30 21:00	56% 20:30 21:45	60% 20:30 21:15	—	—
17:45	60% 20:45 21:00	70% 20:45 21:30	70% 20:45 21:00 21:30 21:15	44% 20:45 21:45	90% 20:45 21:45 21:00	—	—
18:00	70% 21:00	70% 21:00 21:30	60% 21:00 22:15 21:30	56% 21:00	70% 21:00 21:45	—	—
18:15	60% 21:15	70% 21:15 21:30 22:30	50% 21:15 21:30	56% 21:15 21:30	70% 21:15 22:45	—	—
18:30	60% 21:30 22:15 21:45	70% 21:30 21:45	80% 21:30	56% 21:30 21:45	70% 21:30 21:45	—	—
18:45	70% 21:45 22:45	60% 21:45	80% 21:45 22:00	67% 21:45	60% 21:45	—	—
19:00	80% 22:00 22:45 23:00	50% 22:00 23:00	70% 22:00 23:00	44% 22:00	56% 22:00	—	—
19:15	80% 22:15 22:45 23:00	60% 22:15 23:00 22:45	60% 22:15 23:00	78% 22:15 22:45 23:00	44% 22:15	—	—
19:30	90% 22:30 23:00 22:45	70% 22:30 23:00 22:45	60% 22:30 23:00	67% 22:30 22:45 23:00	56% 22:30	—	—
19:45	90% 22:45 23:00	70% 22:45 23:00	60% 22:45 23:00	67% 22:45 23:00	67% 22:45	—	—
20:00	10% 23:00	10% 23:00	10% 23:00	11% 23:00	0%	—	—
20:15	10% 23:45	10% 23:15	10% 23:15	11% 23:15	0%	—	—
20:30	10% 23:45	10% 23:30	10% 23:30	0%	0%	—	—
20:45	10% 23:45	10% 23:45	10% 23:45	0%	0%	—	—
21:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
23:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—
23:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—
23:30	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—	—
23:45	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).