IA19XUS15 25.1128 23H05 YHFI USCOCOA 15min.csv

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Δ1m-8.1%Δ3m-23%Δ1y-23%

Ranking proba×distance — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	Score proba/dist	EV	n
P	5165	67%	43.0000	0.3080	57.9221	49
FIB38	5144	66%	60.3200	0.2510	62.7487	49
PCT_98	5184	66%	60.9200	0.2476	74.5158	49
FIB24	5109	66%	66.0000	0.2372	67.1973	49
FIB50	5172	66%	66.0000	0.2357	64.4264	49
FIB62	5199	61%	75.6040	0.1999	67.0622	49
PCT_97	5131	66%	89.2800	0.1934	67.1464	49
PCT_99	5237	53%	81.2400	0.1669	73.4318	49
S1	5039	61%	110.3333	0.1536	78.8722	49
FIB79	5239	48%	83.0520	0.1473	64.6132	49
PCT_95	5026	56%	164.7500	0.1031	84.4022	49
R1	5276	40%	153.3333	0.0777	66.7474	49
S2	4928	45%	229.6667	0.0622	105.2959	49
S3	4802	19%	365.6667	0.0175	55.6035	49
R2	5402	10%	282.3333	0.0112	16.3924	49
R3	5513	7%	414.3333	0.0055	15.8821	49
PCT_90	4761	4%	473.5000	0.0030	-1.6025	49
PCT_85	4496	2%	777.7500	0.0008	-3.5047	49
PCT_80	4232	2%	1084.0000	0.0006	3.0689	49

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	Score proba/dist	EV	n
FIB24	5109	66%	110.9840	0.1651	67.1973	49
PCT_97	5131	66%	111.5300	0.1644	67.1464	49
P	5165	67%	114.3333	0.1628	57.9221	49
FIB38	5144	66%	127.4900	0.1485	62.7487	49
FIB50	5172	66%	130.0000	0.1454	64.4264	49
PCT_98	5184	66%	140.6000	0.1365	74.5158	49
S1	5039	61%	134.3333	0.1321	78.8722	49
FIB62	5199	61%	152.1180	0.1190	67.0622	49
PCT_95	5026	56%	146.1000	0.1136	84.4022	49
PCT_99	5237	53%	162.2800	0.0991	73.4318	49
FIB79	5239	48%	159.3760	0.0901	64.6132	49
R1	5276	40%	202.0000	0.0619	66.7474	49
S2	4928	45%	234.0000	0.0612	105.2959	49
S3	4802	19%	382.6667	0.0168	55.6035	49
R2	5402	10%	317.6667	0.0101	16.3924	49
R3	5513	7%	457.6667	0.0051	15.8821	49
PCT_90	4761	4%	426.4000	0.0033	-1.6025	49
PCT_85	4496	2%	728.9000	0.0009	-3.5047	49
PCT_80	4232	2%	1044.0000	0.0006	3.0689	49

Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)								Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	10:45 (30%)	12:00 (20%)	17:45 (20%)	15:00 (10%)	15:45 (10%)	17:15 (10%)			10:45 (40%)	15:00 (20%)	11:30 (10%)	12:15 (10%)	16:00 (10%)	16:15 (10%)
Mardi	10:45 (40%)	17:30 (20%)	11:00 (10%)	14:00 (10%)	16:00 (10%)	16:30 (10%)			10:45 (20%)	15:45 (20%)	11:15 (10%)	13:00 (10%)	14:15 (10%)	14:30 (10%)	16:15 (10%)	17:15 (10%)
Mercredi	10:45 (20%)	16:00 (20%)	11:15 (10%)	11:30 (10%)	13:30 (10%)	14:30 (10%)	14:45 (10%)	19:15 (10%)	10:45 (20%)	17:30 (20%)	11:30 (10%)	13:00 (10%)	16:15 (10%)	16:30 (10%)	17:45 (10%)	19:00 (10%)
Jeudi	11:30 (22%)	11:00 (11%)	11:15 (11%)	13:00 (11%)	16:15 (11%)	17:00 (11%)	17:15 (11%)	18:00 (11%)	18:30 (22%)	10:45 (11%)	11:00 (11%)	11:45 (11%)	13:15 (11%)	15:30 (11%)	16:45 (11%)	17:45 (11%)
Vendredi	10:45 (45%)	11:00 (9%)	11:30 (9%)	13:00 (9%)	13:45 (9%)	16:45 (9%)	18:00 (9%)		14:30 (18%)	17:45 (18%)	13:30 (9%)	14:00 (9%)	14:45 (9%)	15:30 (9%)	16:30 (9%)	16:45 (9%)	17:30 (9%)

Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
10:45	70%	10	7
11:00	70%	10	7
12:30	70%	10	7
13:00	70%	10	7
13:30	70%	10	7
11:15	60%	10	6
11:45	60%	10	6
12:45	60%	10	6
13:15	60%	10	6
14:00	60%	10	6

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
11:00	80%	10	8
11:15	80%	10	8
11:30	80%	10	8
11:45	80%	10	8
12:15	80%	10	8
10:45	70%	10	7
12:00	70%	10	7
12:30	70%	10	7
12:45	70%	10	7
13:00	70%	10	7

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
10:45	70%	10	7
11:00	70%	10	7
11:15	60%	10	6
12:45	60%	10	6
13:00	60%	10	6
14:00	60%	10	6
14:30	60%	10	6
11:30	50%	10	5
12:15	50%	10	5
13:15	50%	10	5

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
10:45	89%	9	8
11:15	89%	9	8
12:30	89%	9	8
11:00	78%	9	7
12:45	78%	9	7
13:00	78%	9	7
11:30	67%	9	6
12:15	67%	9	6
14:00	67%	9	6
13:15	56%	9	5

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
10:45	78%	9	7
12:00	67%	9	6
12:15	67%	9	6
12:30	67%	9	6
12:45	67%	9	6
13:00	67%	9	6
13:15	67%	9	6
13:30	67%	9	6
13:45	67%	9	6
14:00	67%	9	6

Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
10:45	70% 13:45	70% 13:45 14:15	70% 13:45 14:00 16:15	89% 13:45 14:30 14:00 14:15	78% 13:45 14:15 14:00 14:45	—	—
11:00	70% 14:00 16:15 16:30	80% 14:00 17:45 14:30 14:15	70% 14:00 16:15 16:45 15:00	78% 14:00 14:15	56% 15:30 14:00 14:45 14:30 14:15	—	—
11:15	60% 14:15 16:30 18:00 15:30	80% 14:15 14:30 17:45	60% 14:15 16:00 14:30 15:00	89% 14:15 15:15 15:00	44% 14:15 14:30 15:15	—	—
11:30	50% 14:30 16:30 14:45	80% 14:30 17:45 16:45	50% 14:30 16:00 15:00	67% 14:30 15:15 15:00	44% 14:30 16:30 15:45	—	—
11:45	60% 14:45 16:30 15:45 15:30	80% 14:45 15:15 16:30 17:15	40% 16:00 14:45	44% 16:00 15:00 15:15 14:45	44% 14:45 16:30 15:45	—	—
12:00	50% 15:00 16:30 15:45 16:15	70% 15:00 16:45 15:30 15:15	40% 15:15 15:00	44% 15:00 16:00 15:15	67% 15:00 16:00 15:45 16:30 15:30	—	—
12:15	50% 15:45 15:15 16:15	80% 15:15 15:30 16:45	50% 15:15	67% 15:15 15:45 16:00	67% 15:15 15:30 15:45 16:30	—	—
12:30	70% 15:30 16:15 15:45	70% 15:30 16:45 15:45	40% 15:45 15:30	89% 15:45 16:00 15:30 17:30 16:45	67% 15:30 16:30	—	—
12:45	60% 15:45 16:15 16:30	70% 15:45 16:45 16:00	60% 15:45 16:00 19:00	78% 15:45 16:45 16:15	67% 15:45 16:00 16:30	—	—
13:00	70% 16:00 16:15 17:30 16:30	70% 16:15 16:00 16:45	60% 16:00 17:30 18:45	78% 16:00 16:45	67% 16:00 16:30	—	—
13:15	60% 16:15 17:30 16:30	70% 16:15 16:45	50% 16:15 17:30 16:30	56% 16:15 17:00	67% 16:15 16:30	—	—
13:30	70% 16:30 17:45	60% 16:30	40% 16:30 16:45	44% 16:30 16:45	67% 16:30 17:00	—	—
13:45	50% 16:45 17:45 17:15	60% 16:45 18:00	40% 16:45 17:15	44% 16:45	67% 16:45	—	—
14:00	60% 17:00 17:45	70% 17:00 17:45 17:15 18:15	60% 17:00 17:30	67% 17:30 17:00 17:15	67% 17:00 17:30 17:15	—	—
14:15	60% 17:15 17:45	60% 17:15 17:45 17:30 18:00	50% 17:15 17:30	56% 17:15 17:30	67% 17:15	—	—
14:30	60% 17:30 17:45	50% 17:30 18:00	60% 17:30 17:45	44% 17:30 18:30 18:00	44% 17:30	—	—
14:45	60% 17:45	60% 17:45 18:00	40% 17:45	33% 17:45 18:00	56% 17:45 18:00	—	—
15:00	30% 18:00	60% 18:00 18:30 18:15	40% 18:00	33% 18:00	56% 18:00	—	—
15:15	50% 18:15 19:15	60% 18:15	40% 18:15 18:30 19:00	56% 18:15 19:15	67% 18:15 19:00	—	—
15:30	60% 18:30 19:15	50% 18:30	50% 18:30 19:00	56% 19:15 18:45 18:30	60% 18:30	—	—
15:45	40% 18:45 19:15	40% 18:45	0%	33% 18:45 19:00	40% 18:45	—	—
16:00	30% 19:00	40% 19:00	20% 19:00	56% 19:00	40% 19:00 19:15	—	—
16:15	30% 19:15	60% 19:15	20% 19:15	44% 19:15	20% 19:15	—	—
16:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
16:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
17:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
17:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
17:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
17:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
18:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
18:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
18:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
18:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:30	—	—	—	—	0%	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).