IA19XCO15 25.1128 23H05 YHFI COPPER 15min.csv

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Δ1m3.9%Δ3m15%Δ1y15%

Ranking proba×distance — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	EV	n
P	5.167	64%	0.0333	0.0207	50
R1	5.233	56%	0.0333	0.0362	50
FIB62	5.162	57%	0.0382	0.0235	50
FIB79	5.179	56%	0.0428	0.0255	50
FIB50	5.15	59%	0.0500	0.0237	50
PCT_99	5.148	57%	0.0500	0.0332	50
FIB38	5.138	57%	0.0618	0.0274	50
S1	5.133	56%	0.0667	0.0465	50
FIB24	5.124	57%	0.0764	0.0359	50
PCT_98	5.096	57%	0.0990	0.0404	50
R2	5.267	34%	0.0667	0.0409	50
PCT_97	5.044	27%	0.1470	0.0280	50
S2	5.067	21%	0.1333	0.0276	50
R3	5.333	19%	0.1333	0.0345	50
S3	5.033	15%	0.1667	0.0280	50
PCT_95	4.94	18%	0.2450	0.0338	50
PCT_90	4.68	12%	0.4900	0.0507	50
PCT_85	4.42	12%	0.7350	0.0804	50
PCT_80	4.16	12%	0.9800	0.1102	50

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	EV	n
P	5.167	64%	0.0333	0.0207	50
FIB62	5.162	57%	0.0382	0.0235	50
FIB50	5.15	59%	0.0500	0.0237	50
PCT_99	5.148	57%	0.0510	0.0332	50
FIB79	5.179	56%	0.0572	0.0255	50
FIB38	5.138	57%	0.0618	0.0274	50
R1	5.233	56%	0.0667	0.0362	50
FIB24	5.124	57%	0.0764	0.0359	50
S1	5.133	56%	0.0833	0.0465	50
PCT_98	5.096	57%	0.1000	0.0404	50
R2	5.267	34%	0.0833	0.0409	50
PCT_97	5.044	27%	0.1500	0.0280	50
S2	5.067	21%	0.1333	0.0276	50
R3	5.333	19%	0.1333	0.0345	50
PCT_95	4.94	18%	0.2500	0.0338	50
S3	5.033	15%	0.2167	0.0280	50
PCT_90	4.68	12%	0.5000	0.0507	50
PCT_85	4.42	12%	0.7500	0.0804	50
PCT_80	4.16	12%	1.0000	0.1102	50

Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)									Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	15:45 (20%)	00:00 (10%)	00:15 (10%)	01:15 (10%)	04:30 (10%)	06:00 (10%)	06:30 (10%)	09:30 (10%)	22:15 (10%)	00:00 (50%)	00:30 (10%)	06:00 (10%)	09:45 (10%)	14:15 (10%)	16:15 (10%)
Mardi	00:00 (80%)	00:45 (10%)	13:45 (10%)							00:00 (30%)	00:15 (10%)	01:00 (10%)	05:45 (10%)	08:15 (10%)	09:15 (10%)	10:15 (10%)	14:30 (10%)
Mercredi	00:00 (30%)	04:15 (20%)	09:00 (10%)	12:00 (10%)	15:30 (10%)	15:45 (10%)	16:00 (10%)			00:00 (60%)	03:30 (10%)	04:30 (10%)	05:00 (10%)	19:15 (10%)
Jeudi	00:00 (40%)	00:45 (10%)	04:00 (10%)	09:00 (10%)	09:45 (10%)	14:45 (10%)	15:00 (10%)			00:00 (30%)	00:30 (10%)	03:00 (10%)	07:15 (10%)	15:45 (10%)	16:15 (10%)	19:30 (10%)	20:00 (10%)
Vendredi	00:00 (55%)	15:30 (18%)	01:00 (9%)	06:00 (9%)	08:45 (9%)					00:00 (18%)	03:45 (18%)	01:00 (9%)	02:15 (9%)	06:00 (9%)	10:00 (9%)	10:15 (9%)	15:45 (9%)	22:45 (9%)

Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
06:00	100%	10	10
06:15	100%	10	10
06:30	100%	10	10
06:45	100%	10	10
07:00	100%	10	10
07:15	100%	10	10
07:30	100%	10	10
07:45	100%	10	10
08:00	100%	10	10
08:15	100%	10	10

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
01:00	100%	10	10
03:00	100%	10	10
03:15	100%	10	10
03:30	100%	10	10
03:45	100%	10	10
08:00	100%	10	10
08:15	100%	10	10
08:30	100%	10	10
08:45	100%	10	10
09:00	100%	10	10

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	10	10
00:15	100%	10	10
00:30	100%	10	10
00:45	100%	10	10
01:00	100%	10	10
01:15	100%	10	10
01:30	100%	10	10
03:00	100%	10	10
03:15	100%	10	10
04:00	100%	10	10

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	10	10
00:15	100%	10	10
00:30	100%	10	10
00:45	100%	10	10
01:30	100%	10	10
01:45	100%	10	10
02:00	100%	10	10
02:15	100%	10	10
02:30	100%	10	10
02:45	100%	10	10

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	9	9
00:15	100%	9	9
00:30	100%	9	9
00:45	100%	9	9
01:00	100%	9	9
01:15	100%	9	9
01:30	100%	9	9
01:45	100%	9	9
02:00	100%	9	9
02:15	100%	9	9

Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
00:00	100% 03:00	90% 03:00	100% 03:00	100% 03:00	100% 03:00	—	—
00:15	100% 03:15	80% 03:15	100% 03:15	100% 03:15	100% 03:15	—	—
00:30	100% 03:30 04:45	80% 03:30 03:45	100% 03:30	100% 03:30	100% 03:30	—	—
00:45	100% 03:45 04:45	80% 03:45 04:30	100% 03:45	100% 03:45	100% 03:45	—	—
01:00	100% 04:00 04:45	100% 04:00	100% 04:00	90% 04:00	100% 04:00	—	—
01:15	100% 04:15 04:45	80% 04:15 04:30	100% 04:15	90% 04:15 09:00	100% 04:15 10:15	—	—
01:30	100% 04:30 04:45	90% 04:30	100% 04:30 05:00	100% 04:30 09:00	100% 04:30 04:45 10:15	—	—
01:45	100% 04:45 05:30	90% 04:45	90% 04:45 06:45 05:00	100% 04:45 09:00	100% 04:45 10:15	—	—
02:00	100% 05:00 05:30	90% 05:00	90% 05:00 06:45	100% 05:00 09:00	100% 05:00	—	—
02:15	100% 05:15 05:30	80% 05:15	90% 05:15 06:45	100% 05:15 09:00	100% 05:15 06:30	—	—
02:30	100% 05:30	80% 05:30 15:00	90% 05:30 06:45	100% 05:30 09:00	100% 05:30 06:30	—	—
02:45	100% 05:45 12:30 06:30	90% 05:45 15:00	90% 05:45 06:45 06:30	100% 05:45 09:00	100% 05:45 06:30	—	—
03:00	100% 06:00 12:30 06:30	100% 06:00 09:15 15:00	100% 06:00 06:45 06:30	90% 06:00 09:00	100% 06:00 06:30	—	—
03:15	100% 06:15 12:30 06:30	100% 06:15 09:15 15:00	100% 06:15 06:45 07:00 06:30	90% 06:15 09:00	100% 06:15 06:30	—	—
03:30	100% 06:30 12:30	100% 06:30 09:15 15:00	90% 06:30 06:45 07:00	90% 06:30 09:00	100% 06:30	—	—
03:45	100% 06:45 12:30 07:00	100% 06:45 09:15	90% 06:45 07:00	90% 06:45 09:00	100% 06:45	—	—
04:00	100% 07:00 12:30	90% 07:00 09:15	100% 07:00	90% 07:00	100% 07:00	—	—
04:15	100% 07:15 12:30	90% 07:15 09:15 15:00	100% 07:15 08:30	90% 07:15	100% 07:15	—	—
04:30	100% 07:30 12:30	80% 07:30 15:00	100% 07:30	90% 07:30 07:45	100% 07:30	—	—
04:45	100% 07:45 19:15	90% 07:45 15:00	100% 07:45 09:00	90% 07:45	100% 07:45	—	—
05:00	100% 08:00 19:15	90% 08:00 15:00	100% 08:00 09:00	90% 08:00 08:45	100% 08:00	—	—
05:15	100% 08:15 19:15	90% 08:15	100% 08:15 09:15	90% 08:15 08:45	100% 08:15	—	—
05:30	100% 08:30 19:15	80% 08:30	90% 08:30 09:15 09:00	90% 08:30 08:45	100% 08:30	—	—
05:45	100% 08:45 19:15 09:00	90% 08:45	90% 08:45 09:15 09:00	90% 08:45	100% 08:45	—	—
06:00	100% 09:00 19:15	90% 09:00	90% 09:00 09:15	100% 09:00 16:15	100% 09:00	—	—
06:15	100% 09:15 19:15	90% 09:15	90% 09:15	89% 09:15 16:15	100% 09:15 09:30	—	—
06:30	100% 09:30 19:15	90% 09:30	100% 09:30 11:00	89% 09:30 16:15	100% 09:30	—	—
06:45	100% 09:45 19:15	90% 09:45	100% 09:45 11:00	89% 09:45 16:15	100% 09:45	—	—
07:00	100% 10:00	90% 10:00	100% 10:00 11:00	89% 10:00	100% 10:00	—	—
07:15	100% 10:15	90% 10:15	100% 10:15 11:00	89% 10:15	100% 10:15 13:00	—	—
07:30	100% 10:30	100% 10:30	100% 10:30 11:00	89% 10:30	100% 10:30 13:00 12:00	—	—
07:45	100% 10:45	100% 10:45	100% 10:45 11:00	89% 10:45 13:15	100% 10:45 13:00 12:00	—	—
08:00	100% 11:00	100% 11:00 14:15	100% 11:00	89% 11:00 13:15	100% 11:00 12:00	—	—
08:15	100% 11:15	100% 11:15 14:15	100% 11:15	89% 11:15 13:15	100% 11:15	—	—
08:30	90% 11:30	100% 11:30 14:15	100% 11:30 12:00	89% 11:30 13:15	100% 11:30 12:00	—	—
08:45	90% 11:45	100% 11:45 14:15	100% 11:45 12:00	89% 11:45 13:15	100% 11:45 12:00 13:00	—	—
09:00	90% 12:00	100% 12:00 14:15	100% 12:00	100% 12:00 13:15	100% 12:00	—	—
09:15	100% 12:15	100% 12:15 12:45 14:15	100% 12:15 14:15	100% 12:15 13:15	100% 12:15	—	—
09:30	100% 12:30	100% 12:30 14:15	100% 12:30 14:15	100% 12:30 13:15	100% 12:30 12:45 13:00 13:30	—	—
09:45	100% 12:45	100% 12:45 14:15	100% 12:45 14:15	100% 12:45	100% 12:45 13:00 13:30	—	—
10:00	100% 13:00	100% 13:00 14:15	100% 13:00 14:15	100% 13:00	100% 13:00 13:30	—	—
10:15	100% 13:15	100% 13:15 14:15	100% 13:15	100% 13:15	100% 13:15 14:45 14:15	—	—
10:30	100% 13:30	100% 13:30 14:15	100% 13:30	100% 13:30	100% 13:30 14:45 14:15	—	—
10:45	100% 13:45	100% 13:45	100% 13:45	89% 13:45	89% 13:45 14:15	—	—
11:00	100% 14:00	100% 14:00	100% 14:00	89% 14:00 14:15	89% 14:00 14:15	—	—
11:15	100% 14:15	100% 14:15	100% 14:15	78% 14:15	89% 14:15	—	—
11:30	100% 14:30	100% 14:30	90% 14:30 14:45	78% 14:30	89% 14:30 15:30	—	—
11:45	90% 14:45 15:30	100% 14:45	90% 14:45 15:00	78% 14:45	89% 14:45 15:30	—	—
12:00	90% 15:00 15:30	100% 15:00	90% 15:00 15:15	78% 15:00	89% 15:00 15:45 15:30	—	—
12:15	90% 15:15	100% 15:15 15:45 15:30	90% 15:15	78% 15:15 17:00	89% 15:15 16:00 15:45 15:30	—	—
12:30	90% 15:30	90% 15:30 15:45	90% 15:30	78% 15:30 17:00	89% 15:30 16:00 15:45	—	—
12:45	90% 15:45	90% 15:45	80% 15:45	78% 15:45 17:00	89% 15:45 16:00	—	—
13:00	80% 16:00 16:30	90% 16:00	80% 16:00 16:45	78% 16:00 17:00	78% 16:00	—	—
13:15	80% 16:15 16:30	90% 16:15	80% 16:15 16:30 16:45	78% 16:15 17:00	78% 16:15 16:30	—	—
13:30	80% 16:30	90% 16:30 18:15	80% 16:30 16:45	100% 16:30 17:00	89% 16:30	—	—
13:45	80% 16:45	90% 16:45 18:15	80% 16:45	100% 16:45 17:00	89% 16:45	—	—
14:00	80% 17:00	80% 17:00 18:15	80% 17:00	89% 17:00	89% 17:00	—	—
14:15	90% 17:15	90% 17:15 18:45 18:15	80% 17:15	89% 17:15	78% 17:15 19:00	—	—
14:30	90% 17:30	80% 17:30 18:15	90% 17:30 18:00	89% 17:30	78% 17:30 19:00	—	—
14:45	90% 17:45 18:15	70% 17:45	90% 17:45 18:00	100% 17:45	78% 17:45 19:00	—	—
15:00	90% 18:00 18:15	90% 18:00	80% 18:00	100% 18:00	78% 18:00 19:00	—	—
15:15	90% 18:15	100% 18:15	70% 18:15	100% 18:15	78% 18:15 19:00	—	—
15:30	90% 18:30	100% 18:30	70% 18:30	100% 18:30	80% 18:30 19:00	—	—
15:45	90% 18:45 21:45	100% 18:45	90% 18:45	100% 18:45	80% 18:45	—	—
16:00	80% 19:00 21:45	100% 19:00	100% 19:00	89% 19:00	70% 19:00	—	—
16:15	80% 19:15	100% 19:15	80% 19:15	100% 19:15	70% 19:15	—	—
16:30	90% 19:30	90% 19:30	90% 19:30	100% 19:30	70% 19:30	—	—
16:45	80% 19:45	90% 19:45	100% 19:45	89% 19:45	70% 19:45	—	—
17:00	80% 20:00	90% 20:00	100% 20:00	89% 20:00	70% 20:00	—	—
17:15	90% 20:15 20:30	80% 20:15	100% 20:15	89% 20:15	70% 20:15	—	—
17:30	90% 20:30	80% 20:30	90% 20:30	89% 20:30	70% 20:30	—	—
17:45	80% 20:45	80% 20:45	90% 20:45	89% 20:45	70% 20:45	—	—
18:00	80% 21:00 21:15	80% 21:00	90% 21:00	89% 21:00	80% 21:00	—	—
18:15	90% 21:15	90% 21:15	100% 21:15	89% 21:15 21:30	90% 21:15	—	—
18:30	100% 21:30 22:00	90% 21:30	100% 21:30	78% 21:30	90% 21:30	—	—
18:45	100% 21:45 22:00	100% 21:45	100% 21:45	89% 21:45	90% 21:45	—	—
19:00	100% 22:00 23:00	100% 22:00 23:00	100% 22:00 23:00	89% 22:00 23:00	89% 22:00	—	—
19:15	100% 22:15 23:00	100% 22:15 23:00	100% 22:15 23:00	89% 22:15 23:00	89% 22:15	—	—
19:30	100% 22:30 23:00	100% 22:30 23:00	100% 22:30 23:00	89% 22:30 23:00	89% 22:30	—	—
19:45	90% 22:45 23:00	100% 22:45 23:00	100% 22:45 23:00	89% 22:45 23:00	89% 22:45	—	—
20:00	10% 23:00	10% 23:00	10% 23:00	11% 23:00	0%	—	—
20:15	10% 23:15	10% 23:15	10% 23:15	11% 23:15	0%	—	—
20:30	10% 23:30	10% 23:30	10% 23:30	11% 23:30	0%	—	—
20:45	10% 23:45	10% 23:45	10% 23:45	11% 23:45	0%	—	—
21:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
23:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—
23:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—
23:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—
23:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).