IA19XCR15 25.1128 23H06 YHFI OIL_CRUDE 15min.csv

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Δ1m-1.3%Δ3m-5.3%Δ1y-5.3%

Ranking proba×distance — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	Score proba/dist	EV	n
P	58.4	56%	0.2333	0.1694	0.2288	50
FIB38	58.41	57%	0.2809	0.1486	0.2934	50
PCT_99	58.01	56%	0.3450	0.1259	0.3306	50
FIB50	58.45	56%	0.3500	0.1255	0.2838	50
FIB24	58.37	56%	0.3668	0.1198	0.3349	50
FIB62	58.49	53%	0.3669	0.1145	0.2870	50
FIB79	58.54	53%	0.4395	0.0979	0.3527	50
PCT_98	57.43	55%	0.6360	0.0751	0.3972	50
S1	58.2	53%	0.7000	0.0667	0.4281	50
R1	58.5	37%	0.6333	0.0501	0.3100	50
PCT_97	56.84	37%	1.1940	0.0288	0.4051	50
S2	58.1	27%	1.3333	0.0186	0.3915	50
R2	58.7	21%	1.3167	0.0146	0.3130	50
R3	58.8	16%	2.1333	0.0071	0.3479	50
PCT_95	55.67	15%	2.3900	0.0060	0.2994	50
S3	57.9	14%	2.2167	0.0059	0.2886	50
PCT_90	52.74	11%	5.4200	0.0020	0.5630	50
PCT_85	49.81	11%	8.5325	0.0013	0.9041	50
PCT_80	46.88	11%	11.5500	0.0009	1.2452	50

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	Score proba/dist	EV	n
FIB38	58.41	57%	0.7854	0.0639	0.2934	50
P	58.4	56%	0.7833	0.0639	0.2288	50
FIB50	58.45	56%	0.8000	0.0627	0.2838	50
PCT_98	57.43	55%	0.8410	0.0588	0.3972	50
FIB24	58.37	56%	0.8736	0.0574	0.3349	50
PCT_99	58.01	56%	0.8790	0.0572	0.3306	50
FIB62	58.49	53%	0.8444	0.0566	0.2870	50
FIB79	58.54	53%	0.8751	0.0541	0.3527	50
S1	58.2	53%	0.9000	0.0533	0.4281	50
R1	58.5	37%	0.9500	0.0350	0.3100	50
PCT_97	56.84	37%	1.0765	0.0317	0.4051	50
S2	58.1	27%	1.3500	0.0183	0.3915	50
R2	58.7	21%	1.7000	0.0115	0.3130	50
PCT_95	55.67	15%	2.1075	0.0068	0.2994	50
R3	58.8	16%	2.4333	0.0062	0.3479	50
S3	57.9	14%	2.2333	0.0058	0.2886	50
PCT_90	52.74	11%	5.1850	0.0021	0.5630	50
PCT_85	49.81	11%	8.2375	0.0013	0.9041	50
PCT_80	46.88	11%	11.2300	0.0010	1.2452	50

Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)									Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	00:00 (20%)	02:00 (10%)	06:30 (10%)	07:00 (10%)	09:30 (10%)	11:30 (10%)	11:45 (10%)	14:15 (10%)	21:45 (10%)	00:30 (10%)	01:15 (10%)	06:00 (10%)	09:45 (10%)	10:45 (10%)	14:45 (10%)	15:00 (10%)	16:15 (10%)	17:30 (10%)
Mardi	00:00 (30%)	17:15 (20%)	02:15 (10%)	08:00 (10%)	14:30 (10%)	19:00 (10%)	21:30 (10%)			07:15 (10%)	07:45 (10%)	08:15 (10%)	11:00 (10%)	12:30 (10%)	14:00 (10%)	15:00 (10%)	15:45 (10%)	16:00 (10%)
Mercredi	00:00 (10%)	00:30 (10%)	10:00 (10%)	11:30 (10%)	14:45 (10%)	16:00 (10%)	17:15 (10%)	19:15 (10%)	20:15 (10%)	09:15 (20%)	00:00 (10%)	10:45 (10%)	12:00 (10%)	14:00 (10%)	15:30 (10%)	18:00 (10%)	19:45 (10%)	20:30 (10%)
Jeudi	00:00 (10%)	02:00 (10%)	02:30 (10%)	09:45 (10%)	10:15 (10%)	11:15 (10%)	14:30 (10%)	16:30 (10%)	18:00 (10%)	00:00 (20%)	02:00 (10%)	02:15 (10%)	14:00 (10%)	16:30 (10%)	18:00 (10%)	18:15 (10%)	19:30 (10%)	20:00 (10%)
Vendredi	14:00 (27%)	00:00 (9%)	02:30 (9%)	02:45 (9%)	10:45 (9%)	11:15 (9%)	16:30 (9%)	16:45 (9%)	17:30 (9%)	00:00 (9%)	04:00 (9%)	06:45 (9%)	11:00 (9%)	11:30 (9%)	11:45 (9%)	14:30 (9%)	15:30 (9%)	17:30 (9%)

Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
05:30	100%	9	9
06:00	100%	9	9
01:30	100%	8	8
01:45	100%	8	8
02:00	100%	8	8
02:15	100%	8	8
02:30	100%	8	8
02:45	100%	8	8
03:00	100%	8	8
03:15	100%	8	8

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
02:00	100%	10	10
03:00	100%	10	10
03:15	100%	10	10
01:15	100%	9	9
01:30	100%	9	9
02:15	100%	9	9
01:00	100%	8	8
02:30	90%	10	9
10:00	90%	10	9
01:45	89%	9	8

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	9	9
00:15	100%	9	9
02:00	100%	9	9
02:15	100%	9	9
02:30	100%	9	9
02:45	100%	9	9
03:00	100%	9	9
03:15	100%	9	9
03:30	100%	9	9
03:45	100%	9	9

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	10	10
02:00	100%	10	10
02:15	100%	10	10
06:00	100%	8	8
06:15	100%	8	8
06:30	100%	8	8
06:45	100%	8	8
07:00	100%	8	8
07:15	100%	8	8
11:00	100%	8	8

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
03:15	100%	9	9
03:30	100%	9	9
03:45	100%	9	9
04:45	100%	9	9
05:00	100%	9	9
05:15	100%	9	9
05:30	100%	9	9
05:45	100%	9	9
06:00	100%	9	9
06:15	100%	9	9

Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
00:00	80% 03:00 07:00 11:30	89% 03:00 04:30 03:30	100% 03:00 03:45	100% 03:00 08:30 03:15	88% 03:00 03:15 13:15	—	—
00:15	80% 03:15 06:45 11:30	89% 03:15 06:00 04:30 03:30	100% 03:15 03:45	90% 03:15 09:00	88% 03:15 06:00 13:15	—	—
00:30	100% 03:30 14:15 20:15 06:45 11:30	89% 03:30 06:00 04:30	89% 03:30 03:45 04:45	90% 03:30 09:00 03:45	88% 03:30 06:00 08:15 03:45 13:15	—	—
00:45	100% 03:45 14:15 19:30 06:45 11:30	88% 03:45 06:45 04:30	89% 03:45 09:30 04:45 04:15	90% 03:45 04:30 11:00 04:00 09:15	89% 03:45 06:00 08:15 04:00 13:15	—	—
01:00	100% 04:00 14:15 19:30 06:45 11:30 08:30	100% 04:00 06:45 04:30 04:15	89% 04:00 04:15 09:30 04:45	90% 04:00 09:00	89% 04:00 06:00 08:15 13:15	—	—
01:15	100% 09:00 14:15 19:30 07:00 11:30 04:15 08:30	100% 04:15 10:00 06:45 05:15 04:30	89% 04:15 09:30 10:15 04:45	90% 04:30 04:15 08:30 10:45 09:00	89% 04:15 06:00 05:15 13:15	—	—
01:30	100% 08:30 06:45 04:45 11:30 04:30	100% 04:30 10:00 06:45 04:45 11:00	89% 04:30 09:30 10:15 04:45	90% 04:30 08:30 10:45 04:45 09:00	89% 04:30 05:30 05:15 07:15 13:15	—	—
01:45	100% 04:45 08:30 06:45 05:45 09:45	89% 04:45 10:00 06:45	89% 04:45 07:45 10:15 05:30 13:00 06:15	90% 04:45 08:30 09:00 06:45	89% 04:45 05:30 05:15 07:15 13:15	—	—
02:00	100% 05:00 08:30 06:45 05:30 05:15	100% 05:00 10:00 06:45 07:15 11:00	100% 05:00 05:30 07:45 13:00 05:15 06:15	100% 05:00 09:00 06:45 05:30	89% 05:00 05:15 07:15 07:45 13:15	—	—
02:15	100% 05:15 08:30 05:45	100% 05:15 10:00 05:45 06:45 09:15 06:00	100% 05:15 05:30 06:30 13:00 06:15	100% 05:15 17:45 09:00 09:15 05:30	89% 05:15 07:15 06:30	—	—
02:30	100% 05:30 08:30	90% 05:30 10:00 05:45 06:45 07:15 06:30 09:15 06:00	100% 05:30 07:45 10:30 07:30 14:45 06:15	90% 05:30 05:45 17:45 09:00 06:45	89% 05:30 06:30 07:15 13:30	—	—
02:45	100% 05:45 08:30 06:00 09:30	89% 05:45 10:00 06:45 06:30 06:00	100% 05:45 07:45 10:30 07:30 14:45 06:15	90% 05:45 17:45 06:30 09:00 06:45	89% 05:45 06:00 13:30 06:30 07:15 11:00	—	—
03:00	100% 06:00 08:00 09:30	100% 06:00 09:15 06:30	100% 06:00 06:15 07:45 06:30 14:45 07:30	70% 06:00 06:45 17:45 09:00	89% 06:00 06:30 07:15 10:45	—	—
03:15	100% 06:15 08:00 09:30	100% 06:15 09:15 06:30	100% 06:15 07:45 14:45 07:30	70% 06:15 08:00 12:00 09:00	100% 06:15 10:00 10:45	—	—
03:30	100% 06:30 08:30 09:30	89% 06:30 07:30 09:00	100% 06:30 07:45 13:00 07:30	70% 06:30 06:45 12:00 09:00	100% 06:30 10:00 11:00	—	—
03:45	100% 06:45 08:30 08:45 07:15 08:00	89% 06:45 07:00 09:15 11:00	100% 06:45 07:30 07:00 13:00	70% 06:45 12:00 09:00	100% 06:45 07:15 10:00 08:30 07:00 10:45	—	—
04:00	100% 07:00 08:00 07:45 08:45 07:30 08:15	89% 07:00 09:15 07:15 11:00	100% 07:00 07:30 08:00 13:00	70% 07:00 12:00 07:15	89% 07:00 07:15 11:45 08:45 08:30 10:45	—	—
04:15	100% 07:15 08:00 07:45 08:45 07:30 08:15	89% 07:15 09:15 09:00	100% 07:15 07:30 08:00 09:00 13:00	70% 07:15 12:00 07:30 09:00	89% 07:15 11:45 07:30 08:30 15:30 10:45 07:45	—	—
04:30	100% 08:00 07:30 08:45 09:15 08:15	89% 07:30 10:00 08:15 09:00	100% 07:30 09:00 08:00	70% 07:30 12:00	78% 07:30 11:45 15:30 07:45	—	—
04:45	100% 07:45 08:00 10:45	89% 08:00 07:45 18:45 09:15 08:15	100% 07:45 08:15	60% 07:45 17:45	100% 07:45 11:45 10:00 08:30 15:30	—	—
05:00	100% 08:00 09:15	89% 08:00 18:45 09:15	100% 08:00 09:00 08:15	70% 08:00 12:00 08:15	100% 08:00 11:45 10:00 08:30 15:30	—	—
05:15	100% 08:15 09:15	89% 08:15 09:00 18:45 09:15	100% 08:15 09:00 08:45	70% 08:15 12:00	100% 08:15 11:45 10:00 14:00	—	—
05:30	100% 08:30 11:15 09:15 09:00	78% 08:30 09:00 18:45 09:15	100% 08:30 08:45 09:00 12:30	70% 08:30 10:15 12:00	100% 08:30 09:45 08:45 11:45 14:00 09:15	—	—
05:45	100% 08:45 09:15 09:00 12:45	78% 08:45 18:45 09:15	100% 08:45 09:00 12:30	70% 08:45 10:15 12:00	100% 08:45 09:45 11:45 14:00 09:15	—	—
06:00	100% 09:00 09:15 14:00 12:45	80% 09:00 10:00 18:45 09:15	100% 09:00 09:30 09:15 10:15 12:30	100% 09:00 10:15 12:00 09:30	100% 09:00 09:15 11:45 12:45 09:45 15:30	—	—
06:15	89% 09:15 14:00 09:30 13:30	78% 09:15 18:45	100% 09:15 10:15 09:45	100% 09:15 09:30 10:15 12:00	100% 09:15 11:45 13:00 09:45 14:00 09:30	—	—
06:30	89% 09:30 09:45 14:00 12:45	78% 09:30 12:30 09:45 16:45	89% 09:30 10:15 10:00 10:30 09:45	100% 09:30 10:15 12:00	100% 09:30 11:45 13:00 10:00 14:00	—	—
06:45	80% 10:30 09:45 14:00 17:00 10:00 12:45	78% 09:45 12:30 16:45 10:00 10:45	89% 09:45 10:15 10:00 17:00 10:30	100% 09:45 10:00 12:00 11:30	100% 09:45 10:00 10:15 12:45 11:00 14:00	—	—
07:00	80% 10:00 10:30 14:45 17:00 13:30	67% 10:00 10:30 12:30 16:45 10:45	89% 10:00 10:15 10:30 12:30	100% 10:00 12:00 11:30 10:30 17:15	100% 10:00 10:15 12:45 11:00 12:30	—	—
07:15	80% 10:15 14:45 17:00 13:45	70% 10:15 10:30 12:30 11:30 16:45 15:45	89% 10:15 10:30 12:30	100% 10:15 11:45 11:30 10:30 17:15	100% 10:15 12:45 19:30 12:30	—	—
07:30	89% 10:30 14:00 17:00 13:45	75% 10:30 12:30 16:45 15:45	89% 10:30 12:30	88% 10:30 14:45 11:00 17:15	100% 10:30 12:45 19:30 12:00 13:15	—	—
07:45	78% 10:45 12:45 14:00 17:00 13:45	56% 13:00 11:00 16:45 15:45 10:45	89% 10:45 12:30 11:00 12:15	75% 10:45 11:30 11:00 17:15	89% 10:45 11:30 12:45 19:30 13:15	—	—
08:00	78% 12:45 11:00 12:30 13:45 17:00	60% 12:30 15:45 11:00 16:45 16:00	89% 11:00 12:30 12:15 11:30	75% 11:00 11:15 11:30 15:30	100% 11:00 11:30 12:30 12:45 13:15	—	—
08:15	70% 12:30 13:30 12:45 17:00 11:15 12:15	60% 15:45 12:30 15:15	78% 11:15 12:30 12:45	62% 11:30 13:00 11:15 17:15	100% 11:15 12:30 14:45 11:30 12:45	—	—
08:30	80% 12:30 13:30 12:45 17:00 11:30 22:15 12:15	56% 15:45 12:30 11:30	56% 11:30 12:30 12:45	75% 11:30 16:00 13:00 11:45 15:30	100% 11:30 12:45 14:45 19:30 11:45 12:00	—	—
08:45	89% 12:45 12:30 13:45 17:00 15:00 22:15 11:45	67% 11:45 15:45 12:30 13:00	78% 11:45 12:15 12:30 12:00	75% 16:00 14:30 13:00 11:45 12:30 15:30	100% 11:45 14:30 16:00 12:30 19:30 12:45 12:00	—	—
09:00	89% 12:30 12:45 12:00 15:00 22:15	78% 12:00 12:30 13:00 18:30 15:15 15:45	78% 12:00 12:15 12:30	75% 14:30 16:00 13:00 12:00 14:45	100% 12:00 14:30 16:00 12:30 19:30 12:45	—	—
09:15	70% 12:30 12:15 15:00 20:30	80% 12:15 12:45 18:15 15:45 15:15 15:30	78% 12:15 12:30 13:15 12:45	75% 12:15 16:00 14:30 13:00 14:45	89% 12:15 13:15 12:30 19:30 12:45	—	—
09:30	89% 12:30 13:15 13:00 20:30	78% 12:30 13:45 15:15 15:00	50% 12:30 12:45	62% 12:30 15:00 13:15	89% 12:30 13:15 12:45 13:00	—	—
09:45	78% 13:00 12:45 13:30 15:30	80% 13:30 12:45 15:15 15:45 13:45 15:00	50% 12:45 15:00	62% 12:45 15:00 13:15 14:15	89% 12:45 13:15 13:00	—	—
10:00	78% 13:00 22:15 15:30	90% 13:00 13:30 15:15 15:30 13:45 15:00	60% 13:00 15:00 13:15 16:45	50% 13:00 15:00 14:30	78% 13:00 13:15	—	—
10:15	60% 13:15 22:15 15:30	89% 13:15 13:45 14:00 15:00 13:30	60% 13:15 15:00 13:45 16:45	75% 13:45 13:15 16:00 14:15	78% 13:15 15:15 14:30 13:30	—	—
10:30	67% 13:30 20:30 15:30	89% 13:30 13:45 15:00	80% 13:30 15:00 16:45	88% 13:30 13:45 16:00 14:45	67% 14:30 13:30 15:15 13:45	—	—
10:45	67% 13:45 15:45 20:30 15:30	78% 13:45 15:00	70% 13:45 14:00 15:00 14:30	75% 13:45 15:00 14:30 14:45	56% 14:30 16:15 14:00 15:15	—	—
11:00	56% 15:45 16:15 17:15 14:15 14:00	80% 14:00 17:30 14:30 15:15 15:00	70% 14:00 15:00 14:45	100% 14:00 15:45 15:00 14:45 19:30	56% 14:30 16:15 14:45 14:00 15:30	—	—
11:15	80% 14:15 19:00 15:45 16:15 17:15 15:00 15:30	67% 14:30 15:15 14:15 15:00 14:45	60% 14:15 14:45 15:45	100% 14:15 14:30 14:45 16:30	56% 14:15 16:15 14:45 15:15 15:45	—	—
11:30	80% 15:00 19:00 15:45 16:15 17:15 14:30 15:30	70% 14:30 15:15 15:30 14:45	60% 14:45 14:30 16:45	100% 14:30 15:15 16:30	44% 15:15 14:45 16:30 15:45	—	—
11:45	90% 15:45 15:00 15:30 19:00 14:45 16:15	70% 14:45 15:00	60% 14:45 16:45	100% 14:45 15:30 16:30	44% 14:45 16:30 15:45	—	—
12:00	90% 15:00 15:30 16:30 18:15 16:15 15:45 19:15	70% 15:00 15:15 15:30	80% 15:00 16:30 15:45 17:00	88% 15:00 15:30 16:30	56% 15:00 16:45 15:15	—	—
12:15	90% 15:30 16:30 18:15 16:00 17:15 18:30 15:15	60% 15:15 17:15	70% 15:15 16:30 18:15 15:45 16:45	88% 15:15 15:30 15:45 16:30	56% 15:15 16:30	—	—
12:30	89% 15:30 15:45 16:00 18:30	70% 15:30 17:30 17:15	70% 15:30 16:30 18:15 15:45 16:45	88% 15:30 15:45 16:30	67% 15:30 19:00 15:45 16:00	—	—
12:45	89% 15:45 16:00 17:00	60% 15:45 17:30 16:00 17:15 16:45	90% 16:30 17:15 15:45 16:45 19:15 17:00	75% 15:45 17:00	67% 15:45 16:00 16:15 16:30	—	—
13:00	89% 16:00 17:00 16:30	44% 17:30 16:00 16:15	90% 16:45 16:00 16:30 19:15	75% 16:00 17:00	56% 16:00 16:15	—	—
13:15	89% 16:15 18:30 18:45	50% 17:30 16:45 17:15 16:15	90% 16:15 16:30 16:45 23:00	62% 16:15 17:15 16:30	44% 16:15 17:30	—	—
13:30	90% 16:30 16:45 17:00 18:45	67% 16:45 17:15 17:30 16:30	90% 16:30 16:45 23:00	50% 16:30	56% 16:30 20:15 16:45 18:00	—	—
13:45	90% 16:45 17:15 17:00 18:45	80% 16:45 17:15 21:45	80% 16:45 17:15 23:00 17:30	62% 16:45 17:00	56% 16:45 20:45 18:00	—	—
14:00	90% 17:00 17:15 20:00 18:45	80% 17:00 17:15 21:45 17:30	80% 17:00 17:15 22:15 23:00 17:30	62% 17:00	56% 17:00 20:45 17:30 18:00	—	—
14:15	80% 17:15 19:45 18:45 17:45	60% 17:15 19:15	70% 17:15 17:30 19:15	62% 17:15	56% 20:45 17:30 17:15 18:15 18:00	—	—
14:30	70% 17:30 19:00 19:45 18:45 17:45	70% 17:30 18:00 19:30 20:15	70% 17:30 19:15	25% 17:30	78% 22:45 20:45 17:30 17:45 18:15 18:00 22:00	—	—
14:45	70% 17:45 19:00 19:45 18:45	60% 17:45 20:15 18:15 18:30	60% 18:00 17:45 18:30 19:15	38% 17:45 18:00	67% 17:45 21:45 19:00 22:00	—	—
15:00	70% 18:00 19:00 19:45 18:45	50% 18:00 19:00 18:45 21:45	60% 18:00 18:15 18:30 18:45	50% 18:00 21:00	89% 18:00 20:15 19:00 18:15	—	—
15:15	60% 18:15 19:00 19:45 18:45	60% 18:15 19:00 21:00	60% 18:15 18:45 18:30	25% 18:15 18:30	89% 18:15 19:00 20:15 18:45	—	—
15:30	60% 18:30 21:15 19:45	70% 18:30 19:00 20:00 21:00	50% 18:30 20:45 18:45	50% 18:30 19:45 20:30	80% 18:30 19:00 20:15 22:00	—	—
15:45	50% 18:45 19:15 20:00	70% 18:45 19:45 21:30 19:30	40% 18:45 22:45	50% 18:45 19:00 19:30	80% 18:45 19:00 20:15 20:00	—	—
16:00	50% 19:00 19:15 20:00	70% 19:00 19:45 21:30 19:30	40% 19:00 20:15	38% 19:00	60% 19:00 19:15 20:00	—	—
16:15	50% 19:15 20:00	50% 19:15 19:30	50% 19:15 20:15 22:15	38% 19:15 19:45	50% 19:15	—	—
16:30	40% 19:30 21:15 20:00	50% 19:30 20:30 19:45	50% 19:30 20:45 22:15	25% 19:45 19:30	60% 19:30	—	—
16:45	40% 19:45 20:00 21:15	60% 19:45 20:45 20:15	50% 19:45 20:15 22:15 20:00	38% 19:45 20:00	50% 19:45	—	—
17:00	40% 20:00 20:15	50% 20:00 20:45	50% 20:00	38% 20:00	30% 20:00 20:15	—	—
17:15	50% 20:15 21:15	60% 20:15 21:00 20:45	50% 20:15 20:45	38% 20:15 20:45	20% 20:15 20:45	—	—
17:30	40% 20:30	60% 20:30 21:00	60% 20:30 20:45 21:00	38% 20:30 22:00	30% 20:30 20:45	—	—
17:45	40% 20:45 21:15	50% 20:45 21:30	60% 20:45 22:15 21:45 21:00 21:15	38% 20:45 21:45	60% 20:45 21:00	—	—
18:00	40% 21:00 21:15	50% 21:00 21:30 22:30	40% 21:00 21:30 21:45	25% 21:45 21:00	60% 21:00	—	—
18:15	20% 21:15	33% 21:15 21:30 22:30	50% 21:45 21:15 21:30	25% 21:15 21:30	50% 21:15 21:45	—	—
18:30	30% 21:30 21:45	30% 21:30	50% 21:30 21:45	25% 21:30	50% 21:30 21:45	—	—
18:45	40% 21:45 22:45	30% 21:45 22:15	40% 21:45	38% 21:45	30% 21:45	—	—
19:00	50% 22:00 23:00 22:45	50% 22:15 22:00 23:00	60% 22:00 22:15 23:00	38% 22:00 22:45	22% 23:00 22:00	—	—
19:15	50% 22:15 22:30 23:15 22:45	30% 22:15 23:00	40% 22:15 23:00 22:45	50% 22:45 22:15	33% 22:15 23:00	—	—
19:30	50% 22:30 23:00 22:45	40% 22:30 23:00	50% 22:30 22:45 23:00	50% 22:30 22:45	44% 22:30 23:00 22:45	—	—
19:45	60% 22:45 23:00	30% 22:45	40% 22:45 23:00	50% 22:45	33% 22:45 23:00	—	—
20:00	10% 23:15	0%	10% 23:00	0%	11% 23:00	—	—
20:15	10% 23:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:30	11% 23:30	0%	10% 23:30	12% 23:30	0%	—	—
20:45	11% 23:45	0%	0%	12% 23:45	0%	—	—
21:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
23:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
23:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—
23:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—
23:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).