IA19XDW15 25.1128 23H06 YHFI DWAVE 15min.csv

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Δ1m-34%Δ3m46%Δ1y46%

Ranking proba×distance — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	Score proba/dist	EV	n
P	22.47	61%	0.7333	0.2329	0.9383	59
PCT_98	22.54	63%	0.7900	0.2271	1.1401	59
FIB79	22.79	63%	0.8148	0.2243	1.1185	59
FIB62	22.62	55%	0.7686	0.2026	0.9414	59
PCT_99	22.77	62%	0.9640	0.1989	1.1925	59
PCT_97	22.31	52%	0.7590	0.1934	0.9122	59
FIB50	22.5	53%	0.8500	0.1822	0.8732	59
R1	22.93	60%	1.1333	0.1705	1.1670	59
FIB38	22.38	50%	0.9168	0.1638	0.8089	59
PCT_95	21.85	46%	0.9450	0.1478	0.7779	59
FIB24	22.24	41%	1.0224	0.1244	0.6888	59
S1	21.93	34%	1.3000	0.0869	0.5776	59
PCT_90	20.7	32%	1.8300	0.0627	0.5792	59
R2	23.47	41%	2.5333	0.0615	1.2416	59
PCT_85	19.55	26%	2.9750	0.0338	0.6953	59
S2	21.47	19%	2.8333	0.0263	0.4531	59
R3	23.93	20%	4.0333	0.0198	0.8010	59
PCT_80	18.4	15%	4.3800	0.0139	0.5139	59
S3	20.93	13%	4.1333	0.0131	0.4653	59

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	Score proba/dist	EV	n
R1	22.93	60%	1.3667	0.1486	1.1670	59
P	22.47	61%	1.6000	0.1344	0.9383	59
PCT_98	22.54	63%	1.7260	0.1294	1.1401	59
PCT_99	22.77	62%	1.7470	0.1280	1.1925	59
FIB79	22.79	63%	1.9490	0.1183	1.1185	59
PCT_97	22.31	52%	1.6520	0.1112	0.9122	59
FIB62	22.62	55%	1.8426	0.1077	0.9414	59
FIB38	22.38	50%	1.6922	0.1045	0.8089	59
FIB50	22.5	53%	1.9500	0.0987	0.8732	59
PCT_95	21.85	46%	1.7650	0.0931	0.7779	59
FIB24	22.24	41%	1.6348	0.0879	0.6888	59
S1	21.93	34%	1.7000	0.0708	0.5776	59
R2	23.47	41%	2.5333	0.0615	1.2416	59
PCT_90	20.7	32%	2.1300	0.0554	0.5792	59
PCT_85	19.55	26%	2.9350	0.0342	0.6953	59
S2	21.47	19%	2.6000	0.0283	0.4531	59
R3	23.93	20%	4.1667	0.0192	0.8010	59
PCT_80	18.4	15%	4.0000	0.0151	0.5139	59
S3	20.93	13%	4.4333	0.0123	0.4653	59

Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)									Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	15:30 (25%)	16:00 (17%)	19:45 (17%)	15:45 (8%)	16:15 (8%)	20:15 (8%)	21:15 (8%)	21:45 (8%)		15:30 (42%)	14:30 (8%)	16:15 (8%)	17:30 (8%)	17:45 (8%)	20:30 (8%)	21:15 (8%)	21:30 (8%)
Mardi	15:30 (25%)	21:15 (25%)	15:45 (8%)	16:15 (8%)	17:00 (8%)	17:30 (8%)	19:45 (8%)	21:30 (8%)		15:30 (25%)	16:00 (17%)	15:45 (8%)	16:45 (8%)	17:45 (8%)	20:30 (8%)	20:45 (8%)	21:15 (8%)	21:45 (8%)
Mercredi	15:30 (33%)	15:45 (8%)	16:15 (8%)	16:30 (8%)	17:00 (8%)	17:45 (8%)	20:00 (8%)	21:00 (8%)	21:15 (8%)	15:30 (33%)	14:30 (8%)	15:45 (8%)	18:00 (8%)	19:15 (8%)	19:30 (8%)	20:00 (8%)	21:00 (8%)	21:30 (8%)
Jeudi	15:30 (27%)	16:00 (9%)	16:15 (9%)	16:30 (9%)	16:45 (9%)	20:00 (9%)	20:30 (9%)	20:45 (9%)	21:15 (9%)	15:30 (45%)	21:45 (18%)	14:30 (9%)	18:00 (9%)	19:30 (9%)	20:00 (9%)
Vendredi	15:30 (38%)	21:00 (15%)	15:45 (8%)	16:00 (8%)	16:15 (8%)	19:00 (8%)	20:45 (8%)	21:15 (8%)		15:30 (38%)	17:30 (15%)	18:00 (15%)	16:15 (8%)	17:00 (8%)	17:45 (8%)	21:30 (8%)

Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
14:30	100%	1	1
14:45	100%	1	1
15:00	100%	1	1
15:15	100%	1	1
18:45	50%	12	6
16:00	42%	12	5
16:45	42%	12	5
17:00	42%	12	5
17:15	42%	12	5
17:30	42%	12	5

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
14:30	100%	1	1
15:30	58%	12	7
15:45	58%	12	7
16:00	50%	12	6
16:30	50%	12	6
16:45	50%	12	6
17:00	42%	12	5
17:15	42%	12	5
17:30	42%	12	5
18:30	42%	12	5

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
14:30	100%	1	1
14:45	100%	1	1
15:00	100%	1	1
15:15	100%	1	1
17:00	75%	12	9
16:00	67%	12	8
16:45	67%	12	8
17:15	67%	12	8
15:45	58%	12	7
16:15	58%	12	7

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
17:15	82%	11	9
17:30	73%	11	8
17:45	73%	11	8
18:00	73%	11	8
16:45	64%	11	7
17:00	64%	11	7
18:15	64%	11	7
18:45	64%	11	7
16:15	45%	11	5
16:30	45%	11	5

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
14:30	100%	1	1
14:45	100%	1	1
15:00	100%	1	1
15:15	100%	1	1
15:30	75%	12	9
16:00	75%	12	9
16:15	75%	12	9
15:45	67%	12	8
16:30	58%	12	7
16:45	50%	12	6

Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
14:30	100% 19:00	100% 17:30	100% 19:30	0%	100% 17:30	—	—
14:45	100% 17:45	0%	100% 18:15	0%	100% 18:30	—	—
15:00	100% 18:00	0%	100% 18:30	0%	100% 18:45	—	—
15:15	100% 18:15	0%	100% 18:15	0%	100% 18:30	—	—
15:30	25% 18:30 18:45	58% 18:30 18:45 19:30 20:00	50% 18:30 21:15 19:00	27% 18:30 20:15	75% 18:30 19:45	—	—
15:45	33% 19:00 20:00 18:45	58% 18:45 19:30 21:45 19:45	58% 18:45 19:00 21:30 21:00	36% 18:45 20:30	67% 18:45 20:15 19:45 19:15	—	—
16:00	42% 19:00 19:45	50% 19:00 19:30 21:45 19:45	67% 19:00 20:00 21:30 19:45 21:00	36% 19:00 20:45	75% 19:00 19:15 19:45 20:15 21:30	—	—
16:15	25% 19:15	33% 19:30 19:15 21:15	58% 19:15 20:15 21:30 19:30 21:00	45% 19:15 20:45 19:30 20:30	75% 19:15 19:45 20:15	—	—
16:30	25% 19:30 20:00	50% 19:30 21:45 21:15 19:45 20:45	50% 19:30 21:30 21:00	45% 19:30 20:45	58% 19:30 20:00	—	—
16:45	42% 19:45 20:00	50% 19:45 21:45 21:15 21:30	67% 19:45 20:00 21:15	64% 19:45 20:45	50% 19:45 20:15	—	—
17:00	42% 20:00 20:15 21:00	42% 20:00 20:30 21:15 20:45	75% 20:00 21:15	64% 20:00 20:30	33% 20:00 20:15	—	—
17:15	42% 20:15 21:30 21:15	42% 20:15 21:45 20:30 20:45	67% 20:15 21:15 20:45 20:30 21:45	82% 20:15 20:45	33% 20:15 20:30	—	—
17:30	42% 20:30 20:45 21:15	42% 20:30 21:45 20:45	50% 20:30 21:15 20:45 21:45	73% 20:30 21:15 21:00	33% 20:30	—	—
17:45	33% 20:45 21:30	25% 20:45 21:45	42% 20:45 21:15 21:45	73% 20:45 21:15 21:00	33% 20:45 21:00	—	—
18:00	33% 21:00 21:30	33% 21:00 21:15	33% 21:15 21:00	73% 21:00 21:45 21:15	8% 21:00	—	—
18:15	25% 21:15	17% 21:15	42% 21:15 21:45	64% 21:15 21:45 21:30	25% 21:15	—	—
18:30	25% 21:30 21:45	42% 21:30	50% 21:30	45% 21:30 21:45	25% 21:30	—	—
18:45	50% 21:45	33% 21:45	42% 21:45	64% 21:45	17% 21:45	—	—
19:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).