Heatmap US500 15min : Ranking Proba×Distance + Niveaux Pivot/Fibo & Percentiles + Top 10

Intraday US500 J-1 → J : calibration isotonic (rolling 120j) · EV centré Value Area · Retouches O/C ≥ 3h

IA19X · 26.0114 23H59 YHFI US500 15min · DATA : 26.0114 23H59 YHFI US500 15min

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Pourquoi ce dashboard US500 est efficace (pour trader US500)

Cette page transforme un simple fichier OHLC US500 en plan de trading intraday : niveaux à retoucher, probas calibrées, et timing horaire pour éviter de tirer au hasard.

Ranking US500 Proba×Distance : on repère en 5 secondes les niveaux les plus probables et les plus proches (Open ou prix actuel).
Niveaux US500 J-1 (Pivot/Fibo/Percentiles) : une grille claire de supports/résistances pour préparer entrées, TP et invalidations.
EV US500 (Expected Value) : TP centré sur la Value Area (15–85 %) et SL basé sur la tolérance (κ×range) → lecture risk/reward.
US500 Timing intraday : Top 10 + heatmap HH:MM×Jour sur retouches O/C ≥ 3 h pour choisir les bons créneaux (et limiter l’overtrading).

⚠️ Ces analyses US500 sont pédagogiques : adaptez toujours votre taille de position et votre stop au contexte de marché.

Δ1m1.9%Δ3m1.1%Δ1y1.1%

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Ranking US500 PROBA × DISTANCE — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	Score proba/dist	EV	n
P	7004	56%	10.8833	0.1763	10.4175	50
FIB62	7014	55%	13.4932	0.1496	13.0983	50
FIB79	7023	53%	14.7766	0.1348	13.6564	50
FIB38	6999	55%	16.6443	0.1268	14.5912	50
FIB50	7006	56%	17.2000	0.1262	13.4296	50
FIB24	6991	55%	20.2232	0.1098	17.4358	50
R1	7031	40%	28.9167	0.0589	13.4935	50
S1	6972	47%	36.1167	0.0566	19.4458	50
PCT_99	6966	40%	49.8850	0.0368	18.5913	50
S2	6945	22%	73.6667	0.0139	18.9684	50
R2	7063	15%	58.1000	0.0117	9.6176	50
PCT_98	6895	25%	115.6600	0.0104	24.9878	50
S3	6913	17%	105.4000	0.0078	20.7818	50
PCT_97	6825	11%	184.0275	0.0030	16.6321	50
R3	7091	5%	93.5333	0.0026	3.9208	50
PCT_95	6684	1%	321.8075	0.0002	0.8876	50
PCT_90	6333	1%	665.9600	0.0001	5.2725	50
PCT_85	5981	1%	1011.0875	0.0001	9.6573	50
PCT_80	5629	1%	1356.4500	0.0000	14.0422	50

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	Score proba/dist	EV	n
FIB38	6999	55%	28.9134	0.0810	14.5912	50
FIB24	6991	55%	33.7160	0.0715	17.4358	50
FIB79	7023	53%	34.2902	0.0679	13.6564	50
P	7004	56%	36.5000	0.0675	10.4175	50
FIB50	7006	56%	37.2000	0.0664	13.4296	50
FIB62	7014	55%	36.7333	0.0663	13.0983	50
R1	7031	40%	31.1333	0.0553	13.4935	50
S1	6972	47%	44.8167	0.0467	19.4458	50
PCT_99	6966	40%	60.1060	0.0310	18.5913	50
S2	6945	22%	76.5167	0.0134	18.9684	50
R2	7063	15%	57.4167	0.0118	9.6176	50
PCT_98	6895	25%	114.9170	0.0105	24.9878	50
S3	6913	17%	107.7167	0.0076	20.7818	50
PCT_97	6825	11%	184.4955	0.0030	16.6321	50
R3	7091	5%	87.5333	0.0028	3.9208	50
PCT_95	6684	1%	322.0825	0.0002	0.8876	50
PCT_90	6333	1%	664.9150	0.0001	5.2725	50
PCT_85	5981	1%	1010.8100	0.0001	9.6573	50
PCT_80	5629	1%	1359.4800	0.0000	14.0422	50

US500 Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)									Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	21:45 (18%)	00:15 (9%)	01:45 (9%)	08:30 (9%)	09:30 (9%)	15:15 (9%)	15:30 (9%)	17:45 (9%)	18:45 (9%)	00:00 (9%)	00:15 (9%)	01:15 (9%)	06:30 (9%)	09:30 (9%)	10:30 (9%)	16:15 (9%)	16:30 (9%)	18:15 (9%)
Mardi	21:45 (27%)	14:30 (18%)	00:00 (9%)	02:45 (9%)	17:00 (9%)	17:15 (9%)	17:30 (9%)	22:15 (9%)		09:00 (9%)	09:30 (9%)	11:00 (9%)	14:45 (9%)	15:45 (9%)	16:30 (9%)	16:45 (9%)	17:00 (9%)	19:00 (9%)
Mercredi	18:30 (18%)	01:00 (9%)	10:30 (9%)	12:00 (9%)	14:45 (9%)	16:15 (9%)	18:00 (9%)	18:45 (9%)	21:00 (9%)	17:45 (18%)	00:45 (9%)	02:30 (9%)	05:45 (9%)	06:45 (9%)	15:00 (9%)	15:30 (9%)	18:45 (9%)	21:45 (9%)
Jeudi	02:00 (12%)	07:30 (12%)	14:30 (12%)	15:15 (12%)	16:30 (12%)	17:30 (12%)	22:30 (12%)	22:45 (12%)		04:00 (12%)	04:15 (12%)	04:30 (12%)	07:15 (12%)	18:15 (12%)	20:15 (12%)	20:45 (12%)	22:00 (12%)
Vendredi	00:00 (10%)	01:45 (10%)	15:45 (10%)	16:00 (10%)	16:30 (10%)	18:30 (10%)	18:45 (10%)	20:15 (10%)	21:15 (10%)	15:30 (20%)	00:00 (10%)	02:30 (10%)	11:15 (10%)	14:45 (10%)	17:30 (10%)	18:00 (10%)	19:15 (10%)	19:45 (10%)

US500 Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
02:45	100%	10	10
03:00	100%	10	10
03:15	100%	10	10
03:30	100%	10	10
03:45	100%	10	10
04:00	100%	10	10
04:15	100%	10	10
04:30	100%	10	10
00:30	90%	10	9
00:45	90%	10	9

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
05:15	100%	11	11
05:30	100%	11	11
05:45	100%	11	11
06:00	100%	11	11
06:15	100%	11	11
06:30	100%	11	11
06:45	100%	11	11
07:00	100%	11	11
07:15	100%	11	11
07:30	100%	11	11

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
01:30	100%	11	11
01:45	100%	11	11
02:00	100%	11	11
06:00	100%	10	10
06:15	100%	10	10
06:30	100%	10	10
06:45	100%	10	10
07:00	100%	10	10
07:15	100%	10	10
07:30	100%	10	10

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	8	8
00:15	100%	8	8
00:30	100%	8	8
00:45	100%	8	8
01:00	100%	8	8
01:15	100%	8	8
01:30	100%	8	8
01:45	100%	8	8
02:00	100%	8	8
02:15	100%	8	8

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
06:00	100%	9	9
06:15	100%	9	9
06:30	100%	9	9
06:45	100%	9	9
07:00	100%	9	9
08:00	100%	9	9
08:15	100%	9	9
08:30	100%	9	9
08:45	100%	9	9
09:00	100%	9	9

US500 Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
00:00	60% 13:45 03:30 12:30 16:00 06:00 15:45	91% 03:00 03:15 06:15 09:30	91% 03:00 05:00 15:45 15:00 03:15 15:30 14:30 04:00	100% 03:00 04:15 17:15 03:30 16:15	100% 06:00 04:00 08:45 14:30 03:00 03:45 11:15	—	—
00:15	80% 13:00 03:15 11:00 16:00 06:00 05:15 03:30 15:45	91% 03:15 05:15 09:30 03:45	91% 03:15 04:45 15:45 09:30 14:30 04:00	100% 03:15 04:15 10:15 11:00 03:45 03:30 16:15	100% 06:00 03:15 08:45 14:30 04:15 04:00 10:30	—	—
00:30	90% 03:30 11:45 17:30 11:00 16:00 05:15 15:45	91% 03:30 05:15 09:30 03:45 09:00 04:15	91% 03:30 04:45 15:45 09:30 03:45 14:30 04:00	100% 03:30 04:15 10:15 10:45 03:45 16:15	100% 06:30 03:30 05:30 14:30 03:45 04:00 07:00	—	—
00:45	90% 11:45 04:30 17:30 11:00 16:00 03:45 05:15 04:45 15:45	82% 03:45 04:00 09:30 09:00	91% 03:45 04:45 15:45 09:30 14:30 04:00	100% 03:45 11:15 10:30 10:15 16:15 04:00 16:00	100% 03:45 06:45 05:30 14:30	—	—
01:00	90% 04:30 11:45 15:45 12:15 16:00 04:15 04:45 15:30	82% 04:00 09:00 09:30 04:15	91% 04:00 04:45 16:00 04:15 09:15 15:30 14:15	100% 04:00 10:00 10:15 16:15 16:00	100% 04:00 04:15 06:30 05:15 14:30	—	—
01:15	90% 15:45 15:30 11:45 05:15 04:45 04:30 04:15	82% 04:15 04:45 08:45 09:30 09:00	91% 04:15 05:30 04:45 13:00 09:15 15:30 14:15	100% 04:15 10:00 04:45 05:30 05:45 16:15 05:00 16:00	100% 04:15 06:30 05:15 14:30 07:00	—	—
01:30	90% 15:45 15:30 11:15 05:00 06:15 05:15 04:30	91% 04:30 04:45 09:30 08:45 09:00 11:00	100% 04:30 05:30 13:00 15:00 15:30 05:15	100% 04:30 10:15 05:00 05:45 13:30 04:45 16:00	100% 06:45 04:30 05:15 14:30 05:00 07:00	—	—
01:45	80% 05:00 11:15 10:00 12:15 06:15 04:45 15:30	91% 04:45 09:30 08:45 05:45 09:00 11:00	100% 04:45 11:45 05:15 13:00 07:30 15:30	100% 04:45 10:15 05:00 13:15 17:45	100% 04:45 05:00 06:45 14:30 06:00	—	—
02:00	80% 05:00 07:45 09:00 12:15 15:30	82% 05:00 09:00 09:15 05:15 06:30 11:15	100% 05:00 11:45 10:15 07:30 11:15 15:30 05:45 14:30	100% 05:00 10:15 13:15 05:45 16:00	100% 05:00 06:15 14:30 05:15 06:00	—	—
02:15	90% 05:15 07:45 09:00 12:15 15:30	82% 05:15 18:45 09:45 09:15 06:30 09:00 11:00	82% 05:15 10:00 07:30 11:15 15:30 05:45 06:30	100% 05:30 05:15 06:45 13:15 16:00	100% 05:15 06:30 14:30 06:45 05:30	—	—
02:30	90% 05:30 07:45 09:15 09:45 15:30	82% 05:30 09:00 18:45 09:45 06:30 11:00	82% 05:30 07:15 07:30 11:15 15:30 05:45 06:30	100% 05:30 06:45 07:15 13:15 16:15	100% 05:30 06:30 06:00 14:15 06:45 08:15	—	—
02:45	100% 05:45 09:00 11:15 09:15 09:45 07:45 06:00 15:30	82% 05:45 09:00 18:45 06:15 09:45 06:30	82% 05:45 07:30 11:15 06:15 07:15	100% 05:45 06:45 07:15 13:15 17:45	100% 05:45 06:45 06:00 12:00	—	—
03:00	100% 06:00 09:00 07:45 09:45 07:00 08:00	82% 06:00 09:00 18:45 06:15 07:45 07:30 06:30	82% 06:00 06:15 10:00 06:45 14:30 09:00	88% 06:45 08:45 07:15 06:15 12:45 06:00 16:15	100% 06:00 06:45 10:30	—	—
03:15	100% 06:15 08:00 09:15 07:45 06:30 09:00 07:30	82% 06:15 18:45 08:15 07:30 10:15 06:30 09:00	82% 06:30 06:15 10:00 08:00	88% 06:15 07:30 08:45 10:00 12:45 16:00	100% 06:15 06:30 10:45 17:15	—	—
03:30	100% 08:00 06:30 11:15 09:00 07:45 06:45	82% 06:30 18:45 08:15 07:30 09:15 07:15 09:00	82% 06:30 10:00 08:00	88% 06:30 08:45 07:15 10:45 14:30	100% 06:30 10:30 17:15 06:45	—	—
03:45	100% 06:45 08:00 07:00 09:00 07:45	91% 18:45 09:30 07:00 09:45 07:30 06:45 09:15 07:15 08:45	91% 06:45 10:00 11:45 08:00 13:15 07:00	88% 06:45 09:00 10:15 08:15	100% 06:45 09:30 17:15 07:00 10:00	—	—
04:00	100% 07:00 07:15 08:30 07:45 08:00	91% 07:00 18:45 09:30 09:45 07:30 09:15 07:15 08:45 09:00	91% 07:00 12:30 08:00 10:00 13:30 10:15	88% 07:00 09:00 07:15 08:15	100% 07:00 09:30 17:15 10:30	—	—
04:15	100% 07:15 07:30 08:30 08:00	91% 09:00 07:30 07:15 18:45 09:30 08:45	82% 07:15 09:00 15:45 08:00 10:00 11:15 13:15 14:30	75% 07:15 08:45 08:15	100% 07:15 10:45 17:15 07:45 10:30 07:30	—	—
04:30	100% 07:30 08:30 07:45 08:00	91% 07:30 09:00 18:45 09:30 08:45	82% 07:30 08:00 12:30 10:00 07:45 11:15 13:15 14:30	75% 07:30 07:45 08:45 09:00 08:15	100% 07:30 11:00 16:45 07:45 10:00 08:00	—	—
04:45	90% 07:45 08:00 08:15	91% 07:45 09:30 09:00 18:45 08:45	82% 07:45 12:30 09:45 11:15 13:15 14:15	88% 07:45 08:15 08:45 09:00	100% 07:45 08:00 11:00 16:45 09:45	—	—
05:00	90% 08:00 09:45 08:15	91% 08:00 09:00 18:45 08:30 09:30 08:15	82% 08:00 12:30 09:45 13:15 14:15	75% 08:15 08:45 08:30 09:00 08:00	100% 08:00 11:00 16:45 08:30	—	—
05:15	90% 08:15 09:45	100% 08:15 16:30 18:15 08:30 09:00 09:45	91% 08:15 10:15 13:00 18:30 09:45 13:30 09:15	75% 08:15 10:15 08:45 08:30 09:00	100% 08:15 10:30 16:45 08:30	—	—
05:30	90% 08:30 10:30 09:45	100% 08:30 16:15 18:15 08:45 09:45 09:00	91% 08:30 10:00 15:45 18:30 09:45 13:15 09:15	88% 08:30 10:15 08:45 09:00 09:15	100% 08:30 10:30 16:45 09:45	—	—
05:45	90% 08:45 09:00 10:30 09:45	100% 08:45 16:15 15:45 09:30 10:00 09:00	91% 08:45 15:45 18:30 10:00 09:45 09:00 13:15 09:15	88% 08:45 09:00 10:15	100% 08:45 10:30 10:00	—	—
06:00	90% 09:00 10:30 13:30 09:45	100% 09:00 16:15 10:00 09:45	100% 09:00 12:30 18:30 09:30 09:45 11:15 13:15 09:15	100% 09:00 09:15 10:15 09:30	100% 09:00 09:15 09:45 13:45 10:00	—	—
06:15	70% 09:15 10:30 13:45	100% 09:15 15:45 10:15 13:00 09:30	100% 09:15 12:30 18:30 09:30 09:45 11:15 13:15	86% 09:15 10:15	100% 09:15 09:45 13:45 11:00 15:15	—	—
06:30	70% 09:30 10:30 10:00 13:45 14:15 11:30	100% 09:30 15:30 15:45 10:15 13:00	100% 09:30 12:15 18:30 09:45 11:15 13:00 13:15	71% 09:30 10:00	100% 09:30 16:45 13:45 10:00 15:15	—	—
06:45	80% 10:30 16:45 10:00 13:00 15:30 10:15 11:30	100% 09:45 13:00 15:45 10:00 12:30 17:15 10:15 15:30	100% 09:45 12:15 10:15 18:30 11:15 13:00	71% 09:45 10:00 10:15	100% 09:45 16:45 13:45 10:00 15:15	—	—
07:00	80% 10:30 16:45 10:00 13:00 15:30 10:15 11:30	100% 10:00 15:45 13:00 17:15 10:15 10:45 13:15 15:30	100% 10:15 12:15 10:00 18:30 11:00 13:00 10:45	57% 10:00 10:45	100% 10:00 10:15 16:45 13:45 14:45	—	—
07:15	80% 10:15 17:00 10:30 13:00 14:15 15:45 12:00	100% 13:15 10:15 18:15 13:00 11:45 17:30 10:45 10:30 15:45	100% 10:15 11:45 18:30 11:00 10:30 13:00 10:45	57% 10:15 15:00 15:45	78% 10:15 16:45 14:45	—	—
07:30	80% 10:30 17:00 13:15 10:45 15:30 12:00	100% 10:30 10:45 13:15 18:15 13:00 11:30 17:30 13:30 15:45	100% 10:30 11:00 11:30 18:30 11:15 12:30 10:45	57% 15:00 11:30 10:30 15:45	89% 10:30 14:45 22:00 16:45 10:45	—	—
07:45	80% 10:45 17:00 11:15 13:15 11:30 15:30 12:15	100% 15:45 10:45 13:15 13:45 11:30 17:15 11:15 13:30 13:00	100% 10:45 11:30 11:00 15:30	71% 15:00 11:45 11:30 16:00 15:30	89% 14:45 22:00 16:45 13:30 11:00 10:45 16:00	—	—
08:00	90% 11:00 13:15 17:00 11:30 15:30 12:00	100% 11:45 15:45 13:45 11:30 17:15 11:15 11:00 13:30 13:00	100% 11:00 11:30 15:00 11:15	71% 15:00 14:00 11:30 16:00 15:30	100% 11:00 22:00 12:15 14:45 12:00 15:15 16:00	—	—
08:15	80% 17:00 13:15 12:00 13:45 15:45 12:30 14:15 13:00	100% 11:15 13:00 11:45 15:30 13:45 11:30 17:15 12:00 15:45	100% 11:15 11:30 15:00 15:15 13:15 12:30	71% 15:00 14:00 11:15 16:00 11:30	100% 11:15 22:00 12:15 14:45 12:00 11:45 15:30 16:00	—	—
08:30	70% 17:00 13:15 12:00 14:15 15:45 11:30 12:15	100% 15:30 13:00 11:30 12:30 17:15 12:45	90% 11:30 12:30 15:00 15:30 14:15	71% 11:30 15:00 11:45 15:45	100% 11:30 12:00 22:00 14:45 12:30 15:30 16:00	—	—
08:45	70% 17:00 13:45 12:00 14:15 15:45 11:45 12:15	100% 13:00 12:45 15:30 12:30 12:00 17:30 12:15	90% 11:45 15:00 15:15 14:15 12:15 12:00	71% 11:45 15:15 15:45	100% 11:45 22:45 12:15 14:15 12:00 12:30 15:30 16:00	—	—
09:00	90% 12:00 17:00 13:45 13:30 15:45 12:30 14:00 13:00	100% 12:00 13:00 12:30 17:30 15:45 15:30	90% 12:00 12:15 15:00 14:15	71% 12:00 15:30 15:45 12:15	100% 12:00 12:15 22:45 14:45 12:30 13:00 16:00	—	—
09:15	90% 13:45 12:15 16:45 13:30 15:45 12:30 13:00	100% 12:15 12:30 17:30 15:45 12:45	90% 12:15 13:30 14:00 14:15 12:30	57% 12:15 15:15 13:45	100% 12:15 22:00 16:15 14:45 12:30 13:00 16:00	—	—
09:30	80% 15:30 12:30 16:45 14:00 13:15 13:30	91% 12:30 12:45 13:00 17:15 15:45	90% 12:30 13:30 13:00 14:00 14:15 15:45	57% 15:15 13:45 15:30 14:00	100% 12:30 22:00 16:15 13:30 15:00 13:00 16:00	—	—
09:45	80% 13:15 14:00 15:00 12:45 15:30 16:30 13:00 13:30	91% 12:45 17:15 15:45	90% 12:45 13:15 13:00 15:00 14:15 15:45	71% 15:15 13:30 15:30 15:45 12:45	100% 12:45 22:00 16:15 13:30 13:00 15:00 15:15 16:00	—	—
10:00	80% 13:00 13:45 15:00 13:15 13:30	100% 13:00 16:30	90% 13:00 13:15 14:00 14:15 15:45 16:15	86% 15:00 13:00 13:30 15:30 15:45 13:15	100% 13:00 22:00 16:30 13:30 13:15 14:45 15:15 16:00	—	—
10:15	80% 13:15 13:45 15:30 13:30	100% 13:15 15:30 13:30 16:30 14:00 14:45	90% 13:15 14:00 13:30 15:00 14:15 15:45 16:15	86% 13:15 15:00 14:30 15:45	100% 13:15 21:45 16:30 13:30 15:15 15:45 16:00	—	—
10:30	70% 13:30 15:00 16:00 14:15	100% 13:30 15:30 14:15 16:30 14:45	90% 13:30 14:00 15:00 14:15 15:45 16:15	100% 13:30 15:00 15:45	100% 13:30 21:45 16:30 15:30 16:00 15:45	—	—
10:45	70% 14:00 13:45 16:00 14:15	100% 13:45 15:30 14:30 16:30 14:45	90% 13:45 14:00 15:00 14:15 15:45 16:15	100% 13:45 15:00 17:00 15:45	100% 13:45 16:15 21:45 15:30 15:45	—	—
11:00	70% 14:00 15:30 14:15 14:30	100% 14:00 15:30 16:30 14:45	90% 14:00 15:00 14:15 15:45	100% 14:00 15:00 17:15 15:45	100% 14:00 16:15 20:45 15:30 15:45 15:15	—	—
11:15	80% 14:15 15:30 15:45 15:00	100% 14:15 15:30 14:30 16:30 14:45	100% 14:15 15:45 16:15	71% 14:15 14:45 15:45 15:30	89% 14:15 15:30 20:45 16:30 15:15	—	—
11:30	80% 14:30 15:30 15:45 15:00	100% 14:30 15:30 15:00 14:45	100% 14:30 15:00 15:30 15:45 16:30	71% 14:30 14:45 15:45 15:30	100% 15:30 16:30 15:15 20:45 14:30	—	—
11:45	80% 14:45 15:45 15:00 16:00 15:30	100% 14:45 15:30 15:00 15:45	90% 14:45 15:00 15:30 15:45 16:15	71% 14:45 17:00 15:45 15:30	100% 15:45 15:15 20:45 16:15 15:30 14:45 16:00	—	—
12:00	70% 15:30 15:00 15:45 15:15	100% 15:00 15:30 15:15 15:45	90% 15:00 15:30 15:45 16:15	71% 15:00 17:00 15:30 15:45 15:15	100% 15:30 15:45 15:15 15:00 16:00	—	—
12:15	70% 15:15 15:30 15:45	100% 15:15 15:30 15:45	90% 15:15 15:30 16:30 16:15	57% 17:00 15:30 15:45 15:15	100% 15:15 15:30 15:45	—	—
12:30	70% 15:30 15:45	91% 15:30 15:45	90% 15:30 16:30 16:15	57% 15:30 17:00 15:45	100% 15:30 15:45 16:15 16:00	—	—
12:45	50% 15:45 16:30	91% 15:45	80% 15:45 16:30 16:00	71% 15:45 17:00 18:15	89% 15:45 20:30 16:15 16:00	—	—
13:00	40% 16:00 16:30 16:15	91% 16:00 18:15 17:15 16:15 17:30	80% 16:00 16:45 16:30	71% 16:00 17:00 16:30 18:15	78% 16:00 20:30 16:15 17:15	—	—
13:15	40% 16:30 16:45 16:15	91% 16:15 17:15 18:00 16:30 16:45 17:30	50% 16:30 16:45 19:45 16:15	57% 17:00 16:30 16:15 16:45	44% 20:30 16:30 17:15 16:15	—	—
13:30	40% 16:30 16:45	82% 16:30 17:30 18:00 16:45	60% 16:30 16:45 17:30 20:00	57% 16:30 17:00 16:45	44% 17:15 20:30 16:45	—	—
13:45	30% 16:45	82% 16:45 17:15 18:15 17:00	60% 16:45 17:30 20:00	57% 17:00 17:45 16:45 20:15	44% 17:15 20:30 16:45	—	—
14:00	30% 18:00 17:00 20:45	82% 17:00 17:15 18:15 18:30	40% 17:00 17:30 20:00	57% 17:00 17:45 17:15	44% 17:15 20:30 17:00	—	—
14:15	30% 18:00 17:30 20:45	82% 17:15 17:30 18:15 18:30	50% 17:15 17:30	43% 17:15 17:45	44% 17:15 20:30	—	—
14:30	30% 18:00 17:30 20:45	73% 17:30 18:15 18:30	60% 17:30 21:45	57% 17:30 17:45 18:00	44% 17:30 20:30	—	—
14:45	30% 18:00 18:30 19:30	64% 17:45 18:15 19:45 18:00	60% 17:45 19:15 21:45	57% 17:45 18:00 19:00	11% 20:30	—	—
15:00	40% 18:00 18:30 20:30 19:15	64% 18:15 18:00 18:30 20:30	60% 18:00 18:15 19:15 21:45	43% 18:00 19:00	22% 20:30 18:30	—	—
15:15	40% 18:15 18:45 20:30 19:15	55% 18:15 18:30 20:30	40% 18:15 19:45 19:15	29% 18:30 19:00	22% 20:30 18:15	—	—
15:30	60% 18:30 21:45 20:00 19:15 20:30	55% 18:30	55% 19:30 18:30 19:15 19:45 18:45 21:00	43% 18:30 19:15	20% 19:15 18:30	—	—
15:45	40% 18:45 20:00 19:15 20:30	55% 18:45	73% 18:45 21:45 19:30 19:45 20:45	29% 19:00 18:45	30% 19:15 18:45 21:30	—	—
16:00	40% 20:00 19:45 19:00 19:15	64% 19:00 22:00 20:45 21:00	64% 19:00 19:15 21:45 22:15 20:45	57% 19:00 20:00 20:15	40% 19:30 21:30 19:00	—	—
16:15	50% 19:15 20:15 22:45	64% 19:15 22:00 21:00 19:30	64% 19:15 21:45 22:15 20:00 21:00	57% 20:00 19:15	50% 19:15 19:30 21:30 20:00	—	—
16:30	50% 19:30 20:30 22:15	55% 19:30 22:00 20:00 21:00	64% 19:30 21:45 19:45 22:15 20:00	57% 19:30	50% 19:30 20:00 21:45	—	—
16:45	50% 20:00 19:45 21:45	36% 19:45 21:00	73% 19:45 20:00 21:45 20:15	43% 19:45	50% 20:00 19:45	—	—
17:00	70% 20:00 20:30 21:45 20:15	45% 20:00 22:00 21:45	82% 20:00 21:45 20:15 20:30 21:00	43% 20:00 20:15	60% 20:00 21:30 20:15	—	—
17:15	70% 20:15 20:30 21:45	45% 20:15 21:15 21:45	73% 20:15 21:45 20:30 21:00	43% 20:15 21:30	60% 20:15 21:30	—	—
17:30	50% 20:30 21:45	36% 20:30 21:15 21:45	73% 20:30 20:45 21:45 21:00	43% 20:30 21:30	50% 20:30 21:15 21:30	—	—
17:45	50% 20:45 21:45 21:00 22:45	27% 20:45 21:15	55% 21:00 20:45 21:30	43% 21:45 20:45 21:15	70% 20:45 21:30 21:15 21:45	—	—
18:00	40% 21:45 21:15 21:00 22:45	36% 21:45 21:00	45% 21:00 21:30	57% 21:45 21:00 21:15	80% 21:00 21:45 21:15 21:30	—	—
18:15	40% 21:15 22:45	36% 21:15 21:45	45% 21:15 21:30 21:45	57% 21:45 21:15	70% 21:15 21:45	—	—
18:30	50% 21:30 22:45	55% 21:30 21:45	45% 21:30 21:45	71% 21:30 21:45	70% 21:30 21:45	—	—
18:45	50% 21:45 22:45	45% 21:45	36% 21:45	57% 21:45 22:15	60% 21:45 22:15	—	—
19:00	50% 22:00 22:45	18% 22:00	40% 22:00	43% 22:00 22:15	33% 22:00	—	—
19:15	50% 22:15	36% 22:15 22:45	40% 22:15	29% 22:15	33% 22:15	—	—
19:30	30% 22:30 22:45	36% 22:30 22:45	30% 22:30	29% 22:30	33% 22:30 22:45	—	—
19:45	40% 22:45	36% 22:45	30% 22:45	29% 22:45	22% 22:45	—	—
20:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).