Heatmap NGAS 15min : Ranking Proba×Distance + Niveaux Pivot/Fibo & Percentiles + Top 10

Intraday NGAS J-1 → J : calibration isotonic (rolling 120j) · EV centré Value Area · Retouches O/C ≥ 3h

IA19X · 26.0114 23H59 YHFI NGAS 15min · DATA : 26.0114 23H59 YHFI NGAS 15min

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Pourquoi ce dashboard NGAS est efficace (pour trader NGAS)

Cette page transforme un simple fichier OHLC NGAS en plan de trading intraday : niveaux à retoucher, probas calibrées, et timing horaire pour éviter de tirer au hasard.

Ranking NGAS Proba×Distance : on repère en 5 secondes les niveaux les plus probables et les plus proches (Open ou prix actuel).
Niveaux NGAS J-1 (Pivot/Fibo/Percentiles) : une grille claire de supports/résistances pour préparer entrées, TP et invalidations.
EV NGAS (Expected Value) : TP centré sur la Value Area (15–85 %) et SL basé sur la tolérance (κ×range) → lecture risk/reward.
NGAS Timing intraday : Top 10 + heatmap HH:MM×Jour sur retouches O/C ≥ 3 h pour choisir les bons créneaux (et limiter l’overtrading).

⚠️ Ces analyses NGAS sont pédagogiques : adaptez toujours votre taille de position et votre stop au contexte de marché.

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Ranking NGAS PROBA × DISTANCE — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	EV	n
FIB79	3.379	52%	0.0572	0.0605	45
PCT_99	3.366	52%	0.0600	0.0689	45
P	3.367	55%	0.0667	0.0442	45
FIB24	3.324	52%	0.0764	0.0496	45
FIB62	3.362	52%	0.0764	0.0526	45
FIB38	3.338	52%	0.0854	0.0477	45
PCT_98	3.332	52%	0.0920	0.0631	45
FIB50	3.35	52%	0.1000	0.0485	45
R1	3.433	52%	0.1000	0.0687	45
PCT_97	3.298	52%	0.1050	0.0622	45
S1	3.333	51%	0.1333	0.0622	45
PCT_95	3.23	48%	0.1300	0.0685	45
R2	3.467	34%	0.2000	0.0865	45
S2	3.267	16%	0.2333	0.0359	45
R3	3.533	14%	0.3000	0.0478	45
PCT_90	3.06	10%	0.3300	0.0226	45
S3	3.233	7%	0.3333	0.0191	45
PCT_85	2.89	2%	0.5250	0.0052	45
PCT_80	2.72	2%	0.7400	0.0090	45

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	EV	n
FIB50	3.35	52%	0.1000	0.0485	45
FIB38	3.338	52%	0.1236	0.0477	45
P	3.367	55%	0.1333	0.0442	45
PCT_98	3.332	52%	0.1300	0.0631	45
FIB62	3.362	52%	0.1309	0.0526	45
S1	3.333	51%	0.1333	0.0622	45
FIB79	3.379	52%	0.1428	0.0605	45
PCT_95	3.23	48%	0.1350	0.0685	45
FIB24	3.324	52%	0.1472	0.0496	45
PCT_97	3.298	52%	0.1500	0.0622	45
PCT_99	3.366	52%	0.1580	0.0689	45
R1	3.433	52%	0.1667	0.0687	45
R2	3.467	34%	0.3000	0.0865	45
S2	3.267	16%	0.2333	0.0359	45
PCT_90	3.06	10%	0.2700	0.0226	45
R3	3.533	14%	0.4000	0.0478	45
S3	3.233	7%	0.3333	0.0191	45
PCT_85	2.89	2%	0.5000	0.0052	45
PCT_80	2.72	2%	0.7200	0.0090	45

NGAS Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)									Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	00:00 (50%)	00:15 (20%)	04:30 (10%)	06:45 (10%)	20:00 (10%)					00:00 (30%)	00:15 (10%)	02:45 (10%)	06:45 (10%)	14:30 (10%)	15:45 (10%)	19:45 (10%)	22:15 (10%)
Mardi	00:00 (50%)	00:15 (10%)	02:45 (10%)	07:45 (10%)	14:30 (10%)	17:00 (10%)				14:30 (20%)	00:00 (10%)	02:30 (10%)	05:30 (10%)	09:30 (10%)	14:45 (10%)	15:45 (10%)	16:15 (10%)	19:15 (10%)
Mercredi	00:00 (20%)	00:15 (10%)	02:45 (10%)	10:45 (10%)	11:45 (10%)	14:45 (10%)	15:00 (10%)	18:45 (10%)	20:30 (10%)	00:00 (40%)	06:30 (10%)	06:45 (10%)	07:00 (10%)	15:30 (10%)	15:45 (10%)	16:00 (10%)
Jeudi	00:00 (43%)	13:00 (14%)	13:15 (14%)	17:00 (14%)	19:30 (14%)					00:00 (43%)	06:45 (14%)	13:45 (14%)	17:15 (14%)	18:45 (14%)
Vendredi	00:00 (22%)	06:00 (11%)	07:00 (11%)	07:15 (11%)	10:00 (11%)	13:00 (11%)	16:30 (11%)	16:45 (11%)		14:30 (22%)	00:00 (11%)	05:30 (11%)	06:00 (11%)	07:00 (11%)	13:15 (11%)	15:30 (11%)	21:30 (11%)

NGAS Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	9	9
00:15	100%	9	9
00:30	100%	9	9
00:45	100%	9	9
01:00	100%	9	9
01:15	100%	9	9
01:30	100%	9	9
01:45	100%	9	9
02:00	100%	9	9
02:15	100%	9	9

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
02:30	100%	10	10
02:45	100%	10	10
03:00	100%	10	10
03:15	100%	10	10
03:30	100%	10	10
03:45	100%	10	10
04:00	100%	10	10
04:45	100%	10	10
05:00	100%	10	10
05:15	100%	10	10

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	10	10
02:30	100%	10	10
02:45	100%	10	10
06:00	100%	9	9
08:15	100%	9	9
08:30	100%	9	9
08:45	100%	9	9
09:00	100%	9	9
09:15	100%	9	9
09:30	100%	9	9

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	7	7
00:15	100%	7	7
00:30	100%	7	7
00:45	100%	7	7
01:00	100%	7	7
01:15	100%	7	7
01:30	100%	7	7
01:45	100%	7	7
02:00	100%	7	7
02:15	100%	7	7

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
06:00	100%	8	8
06:15	100%	8	8
06:30	100%	8	8
06:45	100%	8	8
07:00	100%	8	8
07:15	100%	8	8
07:30	100%	8	8
07:45	100%	8	8
08:00	100%	8	8
08:15	100%	8	8

NGAS Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
00:00	100% 03:00	100% 03:00	100% 03:00 04:30	100% 03:00	100% 03:00	—	—
00:15	100% 03:15 15:45 08:15	100% 03:15	90% 03:15 04:30	100% 03:15	100% 03:15	—	—
00:30	100% 03:30 15:45 03:45	100% 03:30	90% 03:30 04:30	100% 03:30	100% 03:30	—	—
00:45	100% 03:45 15:45 08:15	100% 03:45 06:00 04:00	90% 03:45 04:30	100% 03:45	100% 03:45	—	—
01:00	100% 04:00 15:45	100% 04:00 06:00	90% 04:00 04:30	100% 04:00	100% 04:00	—	—
01:15	100% 04:15 15:45	100% 04:15	90% 04:15 04:30	100% 04:15	100% 04:15	—	—
01:30	100% 04:30 15:45	100% 04:30	90% 04:30	100% 04:30	100% 04:30	—	—
01:45	100% 04:45 05:30 15:45	100% 04:45 05:00	90% 04:45	100% 04:45	100% 04:45	—	—
02:00	100% 05:00 05:30 06:15 15:45	100% 05:00 05:15 07:00	90% 05:00	100% 05:00 06:30	100% 05:00	—	—
02:15	100% 05:15 05:30 06:15 15:45	100% 05:15 07:00	90% 05:15 05:30	100% 05:15 06:30	100% 05:15	—	—
02:30	100% 05:30 06:15 15:45	100% 05:30 05:45	100% 05:30	100% 05:30 06:30	100% 05:30	—	—
02:45	100% 05:45 06:15 15:45	100% 05:45	100% 05:45 06:45	100% 05:45 06:30	100% 05:45	—	—
03:00	100% 06:00 06:15	100% 06:00	90% 06:00 06:45	86% 06:00	100% 06:00	—	—
03:15	100% 06:15 07:00	100% 06:15	80% 06:15 06:45	86% 06:15	100% 06:15	—	—
03:30	100% 06:30 07:00	100% 06:30	80% 06:30	86% 06:30	100% 06:30	—	—
03:45	100% 06:45	100% 06:45 12:45	80% 06:45	86% 06:45 09:30	100% 06:45	—	—
04:00	100% 07:00	100% 07:00 14:15 12:45	80% 07:00	86% 07:00 09:30	100% 07:00	—	—
04:15	100% 07:15	90% 07:15 14:15 12:45 11:00 15:30	90% 07:15	86% 07:15 09:30	100% 07:15 09:00	—	—
04:30	100% 07:30 14:15 12:15	90% 07:30 14:15 12:45 11:00 15:30	90% 07:30	86% 07:30 09:30	100% 07:30 09:00	—	—
04:45	89% 07:45 12:15	100% 07:45 14:15 09:00 12:45 11:00 15:30	80% 07:45	86% 07:45 09:30	100% 07:45 09:00	—	—
05:00	89% 08:00 11:30 14:15 12:15	100% 08:00 14:15 09:00 12:45 11:00 15:30	80% 08:00	86% 08:00 09:30	100% 08:00 09:00	—	—
05:15	89% 08:15 11:30 14:15 12:15	100% 08:15 14:15 09:00 12:45 11:00 15:30	80% 08:15 09:00	86% 08:15 09:30	100% 08:15 09:00	—	—
05:30	100% 08:30 11:30 14:15 12:15	100% 08:30 14:15 10:00 12:45 11:00 15:30	90% 08:30 09:00	86% 08:30 09:30	100% 08:30 09:00	—	—
05:45	100% 08:45 11:30 14:15 12:15	100% 08:45 14:15 10:00 12:45 11:00 15:30	90% 08:45 09:00	86% 08:45 09:30 09:00	100% 08:45 09:00	—	—
06:00	100% 09:00 11:30 14:15 12:15	100% 09:00 14:15 10:00 12:45 11:00 15:30	100% 09:00	100% 09:00 09:30	100% 09:00	—	—
06:15	100% 09:15 11:30 12:15	90% 09:15 14:15 10:00 12:45 11:00 15:30	89% 09:15	83% 09:15 09:30	100% 09:15	—	—
06:30	100% 09:30 11:30 12:15	100% 09:30 14:15 10:00 15:30	89% 09:30 10:15	83% 09:30	100% 09:30 09:45	—	—
06:45	100% 09:45 11:30 12:15 10:15	90% 09:45 10:00 15:30	89% 09:45	83% 09:45	100% 09:45 10:00	—	—
07:00	100% 10:00 11:30 12:15 10:15	90% 10:00 10:15	89% 10:00	100% 10:00	100% 10:00	—	—
07:15	100% 10:15 11:30	90% 10:15 18:45	89% 10:15	100% 10:15	100% 10:15	—	—
07:30	100% 10:30	89% 10:30	89% 10:30	83% 10:30	100% 10:30 10:45	—	—
07:45	100% 10:45	89% 10:45 11:45	89% 10:45 11:00 12:00	83% 10:45	100% 10:45	—	—
08:00	100% 11:00 12:15	100% 11:00 11:45 19:30 18:45	89% 11:00	83% 11:00	100% 11:00 11:15	—	—
08:15	100% 11:15 12:15	89% 11:15 11:45	100% 11:15	83% 11:15	100% 11:15 12:00	—	—
08:30	100% 11:30 12:15	89% 11:30 11:45	100% 11:30	100% 11:30	100% 11:30 12:00	—	—
08:45	100% 11:45	89% 11:45	100% 11:45	100% 11:45	100% 11:45 12:00	—	—
09:00	100% 12:00	89% 12:00	100% 12:00 14:45	100% 12:00	100% 12:00	—	—
09:15	100% 12:15 12:30	89% 12:15	100% 12:15 12:30 14:45	100% 12:15	100% 12:15	—	—
09:30	100% 12:30	100% 12:30	100% 12:30 12:45 13:45 14:45	100% 12:30	100% 12:30	—	—
09:45	100% 12:45 13:15	100% 12:45	100% 12:45 13:45 14:45	100% 12:45	100% 12:45	—	—
10:00	100% 13:00	100% 13:00 13:15	100% 13:00 13:45 14:45	100% 13:00	100% 13:00	—	—
10:15	100% 13:15 13:30	100% 13:15 15:15	89% 13:15 19:30 13:45 14:45	83% 13:15	100% 13:15	—	—
10:30	89% 13:30	100% 13:30 19:00 13:45 16:00 15:15	89% 13:30 13:45 15:00 19:30 14:45	83% 13:30	88% 13:30	—	—
10:45	89% 13:45	100% 13:45 19:00 16:00 16:15 15:15	78% 13:45 15:00 19:30 14:45	83% 13:45	75% 13:45	—	—
11:00	89% 14:00	100% 14:00 19:00 16:00 16:15 15:15	78% 14:00 15:00 19:30 14:15 14:45	83% 14:00 14:15 15:00	75% 14:00 20:00	—	—
11:15	89% 14:15 15:30	90% 14:15 19:00 16:00 16:15 15:15	78% 14:15 19:30 14:45	83% 14:15 15:00	75% 14:15 20:00	—	—
11:30	89% 14:30 17:30 15:30	90% 14:30 19:00 16:00 16:15 15:15	78% 14:30 19:30 14:45	83% 14:30 15:00	75% 14:30	—	—
11:45	67% 14:45 15:15 17:30 15:30	100% 14:45 16:00 16:15 15:15	78% 14:45 19:30	67% 14:45 15:00	75% 14:45	—	—
12:00	67% 15:00 15:15 17:30 15:30	90% 15:00 16:30 16:00 16:15 15:15	78% 15:00 19:30	67% 15:00	88% 15:00 19:00 15:30	—	—
12:15	78% 15:15 15:30 17:30	90% 15:15 16:45 16:30 16:00 16:15	78% 15:15 19:30	67% 15:15	88% 15:15 19:00 15:30	—	—
12:30	78% 15:30 17:30	90% 15:30 16:45 16:30 16:00 16:15	78% 15:30 19:30	67% 15:30	88% 15:30 19:00	—	—
12:45	78% 15:45 16:30 17:30	89% 15:45 16:45 16:30 16:00 16:15	78% 15:45 19:30	67% 15:45 16:45	88% 15:45 16:30 19:00	—	—
13:00	89% 16:00 16:30 17:30	89% 16:00 16:45 16:30 18:15 16:15	78% 16:00 19:30	67% 16:00 16:45	75% 16:00 16:30 19:00	—	—
13:15	89% 16:15 16:30 17:30	78% 16:15 16:45 16:30	78% 16:15 19:30 16:30	67% 16:15 16:45	75% 16:15 16:30 19:00	—	—
13:30	78% 16:30 17:30	78% 16:30 16:45	78% 16:30 19:30	67% 16:30 16:45	75% 16:30 19:00	—	—
13:45	78% 16:45 19:00 17:30	89% 16:45 17:45	89% 16:45 19:30	50% 16:45	75% 16:45 19:00	—	—
14:00	78% 17:00 19:00	89% 17:00 17:45	89% 17:00 19:30	50% 17:00	88% 17:00 19:30 19:00 17:45	—	—
14:15	67% 17:15 19:00	89% 17:15 17:45	89% 17:15 19:30	50% 17:15	100% 17:15 19:30 19:00 17:45	—	—
14:30	78% 17:30 19:00 19:45	89% 17:30 18:45 17:45	89% 17:30 18:00 19:30	50% 17:30	88% 17:30 17:45 19:00	—	—
14:45	89% 17:45 18:00 19:45 19:00	78% 17:45 18:45 19:00	89% 17:45 18:00	33% 17:45	100% 17:45 19:30	—	—
15:00	89% 18:00 19:00	78% 18:00 18:15	89% 18:00	67% 18:00 18:15	100% 18:00 19:30	—	—
15:15	89% 18:15 19:00	80% 18:15	89% 18:15	50% 18:15	100% 18:15 19:30	—	—
15:30	89% 18:30 19:00	80% 18:30	90% 18:30 19:00	83% 18:30 18:45	78% 18:30 19:30	—	—
15:45	89% 18:45 19:00 19:15	90% 18:45	90% 18:45 22:15 19:00	83% 18:45	67% 18:45 19:30	—	—
16:00	78% 19:00 19:15	90% 19:00	80% 19:00 19:15	83% 19:00 20:15	67% 19:00 19:30	—	—
16:15	67% 19:15	90% 19:15	80% 19:15	67% 19:15 20:15	56% 19:15 19:30	—	—
16:30	44% 19:30	90% 19:30 21:00 20:45	80% 19:30	67% 19:30 20:15	67% 19:30	—	—
16:45	33% 19:45	80% 19:45 21:00 20:45	80% 19:45	83% 19:45 20:00 20:15	67% 19:45 20:00	—	—
17:00	75% 20:00	80% 20:00 21:00 20:45	80% 20:00	50% 20:00 20:15	67% 20:00 20:30	—	—
17:15	75% 20:15	80% 20:15 21:00 20:45	90% 20:15	67% 20:15	56% 20:15	—	—
17:30	50% 20:30	70% 20:30 21:00 20:45	90% 20:30	67% 20:30	33% 20:30	—	—
17:45	50% 20:45	70% 20:45 21:00	80% 20:45	50% 20:45	44% 20:45 21:00	—	—
18:00	38% 21:00	70% 21:00	80% 21:00	67% 21:00	44% 21:00 21:15	—	—
18:15	62% 21:15	50% 21:15	80% 21:15	67% 21:15	56% 21:15	—	—
18:30	62% 21:30	50% 21:30	70% 21:30	67% 21:30	56% 21:30	—	—
18:45	50% 21:45	60% 21:45	80% 21:45	83% 21:45	56% 21:45	—	—
19:00	50% 22:00	60% 22:00	78% 22:00	67% 22:00	75% 22:00	—	—
19:15	62% 22:15	90% 22:15	89% 22:15	83% 22:15	62% 22:15	—	—
19:30	62% 22:30	90% 22:30	67% 22:30	100% 22:30	88% 22:30	—	—
19:45	75% 22:45	90% 22:45	89% 22:45	83% 22:45	88% 22:45	—	—
20:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
23:00	—	—	—	0%	—	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).