IA19XNG15 25.1128 23H05 YHFI NGAS 15min.csv

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Δ1m37%Δ3m66%Δ1y66%

Ranking proba×distance — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	EV	n
P	4.6	66%	0.0667	0.0487	43
PCT_99	4.554	57%	0.0660	0.0616	43
FIB24	nan	52%	0.0618	0.0565	43
PCT_98	4.508	57%	0.0700	0.0562	43
FIB79	nan	56%	0.0786	0.0534	43
FIB62	nan	55%	0.0764	0.0459	43
FIB38	nan	52%	0.0764	0.0481	43
FIB50	nan	60%	0.1000	0.0501	43
PCT_97	4.462	57%	0.0950	0.0534	43
S1	4.6	53%	0.1000	0.0739	43
R1	4.6	52%	0.1000	0.0662	43
PCT_95	4.37	52%	0.1300	0.0646	43
R2	4.6	26%	0.2000	0.0590	43
S2	4.6	18%	0.2000	0.0406	43
PCT_90	4.14	20%	0.2900	0.0462	43
S3	4.6	18%	0.3000	0.0604	43
R3	4.6	19%	0.3333	0.0656	43
PCT_85	3.91	18%	0.4650	0.0723	43
PCT_80	3.68	18%	0.6400	0.1038	43

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	EV	n
PCT_99	4.554	57%	0.0710	0.0616	43
P	4.6	66%	0.1000	0.0487	43
PCT_98	4.508	57%	0.0920	0.0562	43
FIB62	nan	55%	0.0882	0.0459	43
FIB50	nan	60%	0.1000	0.0501	43
PCT_97	4.462	57%	0.0990	0.0534	43
FIB79	nan	56%	0.1107	0.0534	43
FIB38	nan	52%	0.1236	0.0481	43
PCT_95	4.37	52%	0.1250	0.0646	43
S1	4.6	53%	0.1333	0.0739	43
R1	4.6	52%	0.1333	0.0662	43
FIB24	nan	52%	0.1472	0.0565	43
R2	4.6	26%	0.2333	0.0590	43
S2	4.6	18%	0.2333	0.0406	43
PCT_90	4.14	20%	0.2700	0.0462	43
R3	4.6	19%	0.3333	0.0656	43
S3	4.6	18%	0.3667	0.0604	43
PCT_85	3.91	18%	0.4800	0.0723	43
PCT_80	3.68	18%	0.6600	0.1038	43

Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)								Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	18:15 (22%)	00:00 (11%)	00:15 (11%)	00:30 (11%)	06:00 (11%)	06:45 (11%)	08:30 (11%)	16:30 (11%)	00:15 (22%)	02:45 (11%)	05:30 (11%)	06:00 (11%)	07:00 (11%)	14:15 (11%)	17:00 (11%)	19:45 (11%)
Mardi	00:00 (33%)	00:15 (11%)	12:45 (11%)	13:30 (11%)	14:45 (11%)	17:00 (11%)	20:00 (11%)		00:00 (33%)	05:30 (11%)	09:30 (11%)	12:45 (11%)	14:45 (11%)	15:45 (11%)	21:45 (11%)
Mercredi	00:00 (33%)	18:45 (22%)	02:45 (11%)	05:00 (11%)	11:45 (11%)	14:45 (11%)			00:00 (33%)	07:00 (22%)	00:15 (11%)	06:30 (11%)	10:15 (11%)	17:15 (11%)
Jeudi	00:00 (12%)	01:45 (12%)	08:00 (12%)	13:00 (12%)	13:15 (12%)	15:00 (12%)	16:30 (12%)	17:00 (12%)	00:00 (50%)	09:45 (12%)	16:30 (12%)	18:30 (12%)	21:00 (12%)
Vendredi	00:00 (22%)	15:15 (22%)	05:30 (11%)	06:00 (11%)	07:15 (11%)	14:45 (11%)	16:30 (11%)		00:00 (22%)	15:00 (22%)	06:00 (11%)	14:15 (11%)	14:30 (11%)	15:30 (11%)	15:45 (11%)

Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
06:00	100%	9	9
06:30	100%	9	9
07:30	100%	9	9
07:45	100%	9	9
09:00	100%	9	9
09:15	100%	9	9
09:30	100%	9	9
09:45	100%	9	9
10:00	100%	9	9
10:15	100%	9	9

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	9	9
00:15	100%	9	9
00:30	100%	9	9
00:45	100%	9	9
01:00	100%	9	9
01:15	100%	9	9
01:30	100%	9	9
01:45	100%	9	9
02:00	100%	9	9
02:15	100%	9	9

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:15	100%	9	9
00:30	100%	9	9
00:45	100%	9	9
01:00	100%	9	9
01:15	100%	9	9
01:30	100%	9	9
01:45	100%	9	9
02:00	100%	9	9
02:15	100%	9	9
02:30	100%	9	9

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	8	8
00:15	100%	8	8
00:30	100%	8	8
00:45	100%	8	8
01:00	100%	8	8
01:15	100%	8	8
01:30	100%	8	8
01:45	100%	8	8
02:00	100%	8	8
02:15	100%	8	8

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
00:00	100%	7	7
00:15	100%	7	7
00:30	100%	7	7
00:45	100%	7	7
01:00	100%	7	7
01:15	100%	7	7
01:30	100%	7	7
01:45	100%	7	7
02:00	100%	7	7
02:15	100%	7	7

Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
00:00	100% 03:00 03:30	100% 03:00	100% 03:00	100% 03:00 03:15	100% 03:00	—	—
00:15	100% 03:15 03:30	100% 03:15	100% 03:15	100% 03:15	100% 03:15	—	—
00:30	100% 03:30	100% 03:30	100% 03:30	100% 03:30	100% 03:30	—	—
00:45	100% 03:45	100% 03:45 06:00	100% 03:45 11:00	100% 03:45	100% 03:45	—	—
01:00	100% 04:00	100% 04:00 06:00	100% 04:00 11:00	100% 04:00	100% 04:00	—	—
01:15	100% 04:15 13:00	100% 04:15	100% 04:15 11:00	100% 04:15	100% 04:15	—	—
01:30	100% 04:30 13:00	100% 04:30	100% 04:30 11:00	100% 04:30	100% 04:30	—	—
01:45	100% 04:45	100% 04:45 05:00	100% 04:45 11:00	100% 04:45	100% 04:45	—	—
02:00	100% 05:00	100% 05:00	100% 05:00 11:00	100% 05:00 05:15 06:30	100% 05:00	—	—
02:15	100% 05:15	100% 05:15	100% 05:15 15:30 11:00 05:30	100% 05:15 06:30	100% 05:15	—	—
02:30	100% 05:30 13:00	100% 05:30	100% 05:30 15:30 11:00	100% 05:30 06:30	100% 05:30	—	—
02:45	100% 05:45 13:00	100% 05:45	100% 05:45 15:30 11:00 06:45	100% 05:45 06:30	100% 05:45	—	—
03:00	100% 06:00 13:00	100% 06:00	100% 06:00 15:30 06:45	88% 06:00	100% 06:00	—	—
03:15	100% 06:15 13:00	100% 06:15	100% 06:15 06:45	88% 06:15	100% 06:15	—	—
03:30	100% 06:30 13:00	100% 06:30	100% 06:30	88% 06:30	100% 06:30	—	—
03:45	100% 06:45	100% 06:45	100% 06:45	88% 06:45 09:30	100% 06:45	—	—
04:00	100% 07:00	100% 07:00 14:15	100% 07:00	88% 07:00 07:15 09:30	100% 07:00	—	—
04:15	100% 07:15	100% 07:15 14:15	100% 07:15	88% 07:15 09:30	100% 07:15 09:00	—	—
04:30	100% 07:30	100% 07:30 08:00 14:15	100% 07:30 14:30 08:00	88% 07:30 07:45 09:30	100% 07:30 09:00	—	—
04:45	100% 07:45	100% 07:45 08:00 14:15 09:00	100% 07:45 08:00 14:30	88% 07:45 09:30	100% 07:45 09:00	—	—
05:00	100% 08:00 14:15	100% 08:00 14:15 09:00	100% 08:00 14:30	88% 08:00 09:30	100% 08:00 09:00	—	—
05:15	100% 08:15 14:15	100% 08:15 13:00 14:15 09:00	100% 08:15 14:30 09:00	88% 08:15 13:00 09:30	100% 08:15 09:00	—	—
05:30	100% 08:30 14:15	100% 08:30 13:00 14:15 10:00	100% 08:30 14:30 08:45 09:00	88% 08:30 13:00 09:30	100% 08:30 09:00	—	—
05:45	100% 08:45 14:15	100% 08:45 13:00 14:15 10:00	100% 08:45 14:30 09:00	88% 08:45 13:00 09:30	100% 08:45 09:00	—	—
06:00	100% 09:00 11:45 14:15	100% 09:00 13:00 14:15 10:00	100% 09:00 14:30	100% 09:00 09:30	100% 09:00	—	—
06:15	89% 09:15 11:45 14:15	100% 09:15 13:00 14:15 10:00	100% 09:15 14:30 09:30	100% 09:15 09:30	100% 09:15	—	—
06:30	100% 09:30 11:45 14:15	100% 09:30 13:00 14:15 10:00	100% 09:30 14:30 10:15	100% 09:30	100% 09:30	—	—
06:45	89% 09:45 11:45 14:15	100% 09:45 13:00 10:00	100% 09:45 14:30	100% 09:45	100% 09:45 10:00	—	—
07:00	89% 10:00 11:45 14:15	100% 10:00 13:00	100% 10:00 14:30	100% 10:00	100% 10:00	—	—
07:15	89% 10:15 11:45	100% 10:15	100% 10:15	100% 10:15	100% 10:15	—	—
07:30	100% 10:30 11:45 14:15	100% 10:30	100% 10:30	100% 10:30	100% 10:30	—	—
07:45	100% 10:45 11:45	100% 10:45 11:45	100% 10:45 14:30 11:00	100% 10:45	100% 10:45	—	—
08:00	89% 11:00 11:45	100% 11:00 11:45	100% 11:00	100% 11:00	100% 11:00 11:15	—	—
08:15	89% 11:15 11:45	100% 11:15 11:45	100% 11:15 14:45	100% 11:15	100% 11:15	—	—
08:30	89% 11:30	100% 11:30 11:45	100% 11:30	100% 11:30	100% 11:30	—	—
08:45	89% 11:45	100% 11:45	100% 11:45 14:45	100% 11:45	100% 11:45	—	—
09:00	100% 12:00	100% 12:00	100% 12:00 14:45	100% 12:00	100% 12:00	—	—
09:15	100% 12:15 12:30	100% 12:15	100% 12:15 12:30	100% 12:15 12:30	100% 12:15	—	—
09:30	100% 12:30	100% 12:30	100% 12:30 14:45 12:45	100% 12:30	100% 12:30	—	—
09:45	100% 12:45 13:15	89% 12:45	100% 12:45 14:45	100% 12:45	100% 12:45	—	—
10:00	100% 13:00	100% 13:00	100% 13:00 14:45	100% 13:00	100% 13:00	—	—
10:15	100% 13:15	100% 13:15	100% 13:15 14:45 19:30	100% 13:15	100% 13:15	—	—
10:30	100% 13:30	100% 13:30 14:00 19:00	100% 13:30 14:45 15:00 19:30	100% 13:30	100% 13:30	—	—
10:45	89% 13:45	100% 13:45 14:00 19:00	89% 13:45 14:45 15:00 19:30	100% 13:45	100% 13:45	—	—
11:00	89% 14:00	100% 14:00 19:00	89% 14:00 15:00 19:30	100% 14:00	100% 14:00 20:00	—	—
11:15	78% 14:15	100% 14:15 19:00	89% 14:15 19:30	100% 14:15	100% 14:15 20:00	—	—
11:30	78% 14:30	100% 14:30 19:00	89% 14:30 19:30	100% 14:30	100% 14:30	—	—
11:45	67% 14:45 15:15	100% 14:45	78% 14:45 19:30	100% 14:45 15:15 15:30 17:45	100% 14:45	—	—
12:00	67% 15:00 15:15	89% 15:00	78% 15:00 19:30	100% 15:00 15:15 15:30 17:45	100% 15:00	—	—
12:15	67% 15:15	89% 15:15 15:30 16:45	88% 15:15	100% 15:15 15:30 16:30 17:45	100% 15:15	—	—
12:30	56% 15:30	89% 15:30 16:45	67% 15:30	100% 15:30 19:30 16:30 17:45	100% 15:30	—	—
12:45	56% 15:45	89% 15:45 16:00 16:45	67% 15:45 16:30	100% 15:45 19:30 17:45	100% 15:45 16:15 16:00 16:30	—	—
13:00	56% 16:00	89% 16:00 16:45	67% 16:00 16:30	86% 16:00 19:30 17:45	100% 16:00 16:15 16:30	—	—
13:15	67% 16:15 21:00	89% 16:15 16:45	67% 16:15 16:30	86% 16:15 19:30 17:45	86% 16:15 16:30	—	—
13:30	78% 16:30 21:00	89% 16:30 16:45	78% 16:30	86% 16:30 19:30 17:45	86% 16:30	—	—
13:45	78% 16:45 21:00	89% 16:45 17:15 18:30	78% 16:45	86% 16:45 19:30 17:45	86% 16:45	—	—
14:00	78% 17:00 21:00	89% 17:00 17:15 18:30	78% 17:00 18:45	86% 17:00 19:30 17:45	86% 17:00 17:30	—	—
14:15	78% 17:15 21:00	89% 17:15	78% 17:15	86% 17:15 17:45	86% 17:15 17:30	—	—
14:30	78% 17:30 21:00	89% 17:30 18:45	78% 17:30 18:00	86% 17:30 17:45	86% 17:30	—	—
14:45	78% 17:45 18:00	89% 17:45 18:45	89% 17:45 18:00	71% 17:45	86% 17:45	—	—
15:00	78% 18:00	89% 18:00	100% 18:00 20:00	86% 18:00	86% 18:00	—	—
15:15	89% 18:15	89% 18:15	100% 18:15 20:00	86% 18:15	86% 18:15	—	—
15:30	78% 18:30	89% 18:30	100% 18:30 20:00 19:00	100% 18:30	75% 18:30 20:00	—	—
15:45	78% 18:45 19:00	100% 18:45 19:15	89% 18:45 20:00 22:15 19:00	100% 18:45	62% 18:45 19:00 20:00	—	—
16:00	78% 19:00	100% 19:00 19:15	88% 19:00 20:00	100% 19:00	62% 19:00	—	—
16:15	78% 19:15	100% 19:15 19:45	89% 19:15 20:00	100% 19:15	62% 19:15 19:30	—	—
16:30	67% 19:30	89% 19:30 21:00	78% 19:30 20:00	100% 19:30	75% 19:30	—	—
16:45	56% 19:45	89% 19:45 21:00	89% 19:45 20:30 22:45 20:00	100% 19:45 20:30 20:15 20:00	75% 19:45	—	—
17:00	67% 20:00	89% 20:00 21:00	89% 20:00 22:45	86% 20:00 20:30 20:15	75% 20:00	—	—
17:15	67% 20:15	100% 20:15 21:00	89% 20:15 22:45	86% 20:15	62% 20:15	—	—
17:30	67% 20:30	78% 20:30 21:00	89% 20:30 22:45	57% 20:30	50% 20:30	—	—
17:45	67% 20:45	67% 20:45 21:00	89% 20:45 22:45	57% 20:45	62% 20:45 21:30 21:00	—	—
18:00	67% 21:00	78% 21:00	89% 21:00 22:45 21:45	57% 21:00	88% 21:00 21:30	—	—
18:15	78% 21:15	56% 21:15	89% 21:15 22:45 21:45	57% 21:15	88% 21:15 21:30	—	—
18:30	78% 21:30	56% 21:30	89% 21:30 22:45 21:45	71% 21:30	75% 21:30	—	—
18:45	67% 21:45	67% 21:45	89% 21:45	57% 21:45	75% 21:45	—	—
19:00	78% 22:00 23:00	67% 22:00	89% 22:00	29% 22:00	86% 22:00	—	—
19:15	78% 22:15 23:00	89% 22:15 23:00	89% 22:15	43% 22:15	86% 22:15	—	—
19:30	78% 22:30 23:00	78% 22:30 23:00	75% 22:30	71% 22:30	86% 22:30	—	—
19:45	78% 22:45 23:00	89% 22:45 23:00	88% 22:45	57% 22:45	71% 22:45	—	—
20:00	11% 23:00	11% 23:00	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:15	11% 23:15	11% 23:15	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:30	11% 23:30	11% 23:30	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:45	11% 23:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
23:00	0%	0%	—	0%	—	—	—
23:15	0%	0%	—	—	—	—	—
23:30	0%	0%	—	—	—	—	—
23:45	0%	0%	—	—	—	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).