IA19XVI15 25.1128 23H06 YHFI VIX 15min.csv

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Δ1m-3.0%Δ3m8.6%Δ1y8.6%

Ranking proba×distance — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	Score proba/dist	EV	n
P	17.2	65%	0.3667	0.1385	0.4334	59
FIB50	17.2	64%	0.4000	0.1284	0.5241	59
FIB24	17.09	63%	0.4876	0.1076	0.5106	59
FIB38	17.15	64%	0.4944	0.1075	0.5037	59
FIB62	17.25	64%	0.5270	0.1026	0.5756	59
PCT_97	16.88	63%	0.5330	0.0989	0.6844	59
PCT_98	17.05	62%	0.5680	0.0932	0.7297	59
PCT_95	16.53	61%	0.6050	0.0869	0.6300	59
R1	17.4	62%	0.6333	0.0842	0.7997	59
FIB79	17.31	58%	0.6794	0.0748	0.6473	59
PCT_99	17.23	58%	0.7280	0.0702	0.7732	59
S1	17	40%	0.7000	0.0498	0.3333	59
R2	17.6	38%	1.4000	0.0256	0.9210	59
PCT_90	15.66	23%	1.1900	0.0175	0.2583	59
S2	16.8	10%	1.3667	0.0071	0.1546	59
PCT_85	14.79	13%	1.9200	0.0066	0.1836	59
R3	17.8	15%	2.2667	0.0065	0.4872	59
PCT_80	13.92	4%	2.7400	0.0014	0.0506	59
S3	16.6	2%	2.0667	0.0007	-0.0318	59

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	Score proba/dist	EV	n
FIB50	17.2	64%	0.5500	0.0987	0.5241	59
FIB38	17.15	64%	0.6270	0.0879	0.5037	59
P	17.2	65%	0.7000	0.0808	0.4334	59
FIB62	17.25	64%	0.7034	0.0801	0.5756	59
FIB24	17.09	63%	0.6944	0.0796	0.5106	59
FIB79	17.31	58%	0.6868	0.0741	0.6473	59
PCT_97	16.88	63%	0.7450	0.0741	0.6844	59
PCT_98	17.05	62%	0.7640	0.0721	0.7297	59
PCT_95	16.53	61%	0.8100	0.0673	0.6300	59
PCT_99	17.23	58%	0.8260	0.0628	0.7732	59
R1	17.4	62%	0.9667	0.0579	0.7997	59
S1	17	40%	0.8000	0.0443	0.3333	59
R2	17.6	38%	1.4333	0.0251	0.9210	59
PCT_90	15.66	23%	1.2700	0.0165	0.2583	59
R3	17.8	15%	2.1000	0.0070	0.4872	59
S2	16.8	10%	1.4000	0.0070	0.1546	59
PCT_85	14.79	13%	1.8800	0.0067	0.1836	59
PCT_80	13.92	4%	2.7600	0.0014	0.0506	59
S3	16.6	2%	2.2333	0.0006	-0.0318	59

Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)									Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	09:15 (17%)	16:00 (17%)	10:15 (8%)	11:45 (8%)	12:45 (8%)	13:00 (8%)	16:15 (8%)	19:15 (8%)	21:00 (8%)	21:45 (25%)	09:15 (8%)	09:30 (8%)	11:00 (8%)	14:15 (8%)	16:45 (8%)	17:00 (8%)	19:30 (8%)	20:15 (8%)
Mardi	09:30 (17%)	15:45 (17%)	11:00 (8%)	15:30 (8%)	16:30 (8%)	17:00 (8%)	18:00 (8%)	19:30 (8%)	20:30 (8%)	21:45 (25%)	14:45 (17%)	09:15 (8%)	11:00 (8%)	14:00 (8%)	16:30 (8%)	19:30 (8%)	19:45 (8%)	20:30 (8%)
Mercredi	09:15 (17%)	17:45 (17%)	10:30 (8%)	11:45 (8%)	13:15 (8%)	18:30 (8%)	19:15 (8%)	19:30 (8%)	19:45 (8%)	09:15 (17%)	20:30 (17%)	08:15 (8%)	15:15 (8%)	16:00 (8%)	16:15 (8%)	18:00 (8%)	21:00 (8%)	21:45 (8%)
Jeudi	09:15 (8%)	14:15 (8%)	15:30 (8%)	15:45 (8%)	17:00 (8%)	17:30 (8%)	17:45 (8%)	18:15 (8%)	19:15 (8%)	09:15 (17%)	13:00 (17%)	10:00 (8%)	12:15 (8%)	12:30 (8%)	14:15 (8%)	14:30 (8%)	15:30 (8%)	20:00 (8%)
Vendredi	09:15 (17%)	15:30 (17%)	21:30 (17%)	10:00 (8%)	11:15 (8%)	17:15 (8%)	18:00 (8%)	18:15 (8%)	19:45 (8%)	22:00 (17%)	10:45 (8%)	12:45 (8%)	15:00 (8%)	15:30 (8%)	15:45 (8%)	16:00 (8%)	16:45 (8%)	18:00 (8%)

Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
08:15	100%	1	1
08:30	100%	1	1
08:45	100%	1	1
09:00	100%	1	1
09:15	91%	11	10
09:45	91%	11	10
10:00	91%	11	10
10:15	91%	11	10
09:30	82%	11	9
10:30	82%	11	9

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
09:15	100%	12	12
09:30	100%	12	12
09:45	100%	12	12
10:00	100%	12	12
08:15	100%	1	1
08:30	100%	1	1
08:45	100%	1	1
09:00	100%	1	1
10:15	92%	12	11
10:30	92%	12	11

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
11:00	100%	12	12
08:15	100%	1	1
08:30	100%	1	1
08:45	100%	1	1
09:00	100%	1	1
09:15	92%	12	11
09:30	92%	12	11
09:45	92%	12	11
10:00	92%	12	11
10:15	92%	12	11

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
09:15	100%	12	12
11:00	100%	12	12
11:15	100%	12	12
08:15	100%	1	1
08:30	100%	1	1
08:45	100%	1	1
09:00	100%	1	1
10:00	92%	12	11
10:30	92%	12	11
10:45	92%	12	11

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
08:15	100%	1	1
08:30	100%	1	1
08:45	100%	1	1
09:00	100%	1	1
09:15	92%	12	11
09:30	92%	12	11
09:45	92%	12	11
10:00	92%	12	11
10:15	92%	12	11
10:30	92%	12	11

Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
08:15	100% 11:45	100% 11:15	100% 11:15	100% 13:15	100% 14:30	—	—
08:30	100% 11:45	100% 11:30	100% 11:30	100% 11:30	100% 11:30	—	—
08:45	100% 14:30	100% 11:45	100% 12:15	100% 11:45	100% 11:45	—	—
09:00	100% 14:30	100% 12:00	100% 12:15	100% 12:00	100% 12:00	—	—
09:15	91% 12:15 13:45 16:00 14:30 15:45 12:45	100% 12:15 13:00 12:30 22:00 12:45 17:00 13:45	92% 12:15 14:30 15:30 14:00 17:30 13:15 15:00 13:45	100% 12:15 15:30 14:30 15:00 12:30 14:00	92% 12:15 15:45 15:30 12:30 13:15 21:30 13:30	—	—
09:30	82% 12:30 18:00 14:30 15:45 12:45 14:00	100% 12:30 13:00 12:45 13:45 14:30 17:00	92% 12:30 14:30 15:30 12:45 17:30 13:15 13:00 15:00 13:45	83% 15:30 12:30 14:30 15:00 14:00	92% 12:30 15:45 15:30 13:30 13:45 13:15 21:30	—	—
09:45	91% 12:45 13:00 18:00 13:45 15:45 14:00	100% 12:45 13:00 13:45 17:00	92% 12:45 14:30 15:45 13:15 18:30 13:45	83% 12:45 14:30 13:15 15:00 15:30 15:45 15:15 14:00	92% 12:45 15:30 13:30 13:45 21:30 15:45	—	—
10:00	91% 13:00 16:00 13:45 15:30 13:30	100% 13:00 13:45 17:00 13:15	92% 13:00 13:15 14:30 15:45 18:15 13:45	92% 13:00 14:15 15:30 15:45 15:00	92% 13:00 15:30 13:45 21:30 16:30 14:15	—	—
10:15	91% 13:15 16:00 13:30 14:45 15:30	92% 13:15 13:30 17:00 15:00	92% 13:15 13:30 14:30 15:45 14:15 18:00	83% 13:15 14:15 15:30 15:45 15:00	92% 13:15 13:30 15:30 14:30 20:45 16:15 13:45	—	—
10:30	82% 13:30 16:00 14:45 15:45 15:30	92% 13:30 17:00 15:00 18:45 15:30	92% 13:30 14:30 15:30 15:45 14:00 15:00	92% 13:30 14:30 14:15 15:30 15:45 15:00 17:00	92% 13:30 15:30 13:45 20:30 16:15	—	—
10:45	82% 13:45 16:00 14:45 15:45 15:30 17:00	92% 13:45 15:30 17:00 15:00 18:45	92% 13:45 14:00 14:30 15:30 15:45	92% 14:15 13:45 15:30 14:30 18:15 15:00 14:00 17:00	92% 13:45 15:30 14:15 20:30 16:15 15:45	—	—
11:00	73% 14:00 16:00 14:45 15:30 17:00	92% 14:00 15:30 14:15 16:15 15:00 14:30 18:45	100% 14:00 14:30 15:30 14:15	100% 14:00 15:30 14:30 17:30 14:15 18:15 15:00 17:00	92% 14:00 15:30 17:45 14:15 20:30 15:45 16:15	—	—
11:15	73% 14:15 16:00 14:45 15:30 15:45	92% 14:15 15:30 16:15 15:00 14:30 18:45	92% 14:15 14:30 20:15 15:15	100% 14:15 15:30 14:30 17:30 18:45 15:00 17:00	92% 14:15 16:15 15:30 20:30 16:30	—	—
11:30	73% 15:30 14:30 14:45 15:45	92% 14:30 16:15 15:00 18:45 15:30	75% 14:30 15:15 15:30	92% 14:30 17:30 15:30 14:45 18:45 15:00 17:00	83% 14:30 15:30 16:15 20:30 16:30	—	—
11:45	64% 15:30 14:45 15:45	58% 14:45 15:00 16:15 18:45 15:30	75% 14:45 17:30 17:00 15:45 15:15 15:30 15:00	75% 14:45 15:00 17:30 15:30 17:00	75% 14:45 16:15 15:30 17:45 20:30	—	—
12:00	64% 15:30 15:00 15:45	67% 15:00 16:15 18:45 15:30	67% 15:00 17:15 17:00 15:45 15:15 15:30	67% 15:00 15:30 15:45 17:30 17:00	75% 15:00 15:30 16:15 17:45 16:45 15:45 16:00	—	—
12:15	73% 15:30 15:15 15:45 21:00	75% 15:30 16:00 15:15 16:15 16:45 18:45	67% 15:15 17:15 17:00 15:45 15:30	58% 15:30 15:15 15:45 16:15 17:00	75% 15:15 15:30 16:15 17:45 16:45 15:45 16:00	—	—
12:30	73% 15:30 16:45 21:00	75% 15:30 16:00 16:15 16:45 18:45	58% 15:30 17:00	50% 15:30 15:45 16:15 17:00	75% 15:30 16:15 16:45	—	—
12:45	82% 15:45 16:15 21:00 18:00 17:00	75% 15:45 16:00 16:30 16:15 19:30 16:45 18:45	50% 15:45 17:00 17:30 21:30 16:45	50% 15:45 16:15 17:00	67% 15:45 16:15	—	—
13:00	82% 16:00 21:30 21:00 18:00 17:00	83% 16:00 16:30 16:15 19:30 16:45 17:30	58% 16:00 17:00 17:30 21:30 16:45	33% 16:00 21:00 17:00	67% 16:00 16:15 16:30 20:30	—	—
13:15	73% 16:15 17:00 21:30 21:00 18:15	75% 16:15 16:45 16:30 19:15 17:30	50% 17:00 17:30 21:45 16:15 16:45	42% 16:15 21:00 17:00	67% 16:15 20:30 16:45 16:30	—	—
13:30	64% 16:30 21:30 21:00 18:00 16:45	75% 16:30 16:45 17:15 19:15 17:30	42% 17:00 18:30 21:30 16:45	33% 16:30 21:00 17:45 17:00	58% 16:30 21:45 16:45 20:15 17:15	—	—
13:45	64% 16:45 21:30 21:00 18:00	42% 16:45 18:30 19:30 17:15	50% 17:00 21:30 19:45 16:45	33% 17:00 19:30 21:00	58% 16:45 20:30 20:00 17:15	—	—
14:00	64% 17:00 21:30 21:00 17:45	50% 17:00 18:30 19:15 17:15	50% 17:00 21:45 19:45	50% 17:15 17:00 19:15 21:00	50% 17:00 21:45 20:00 17:15	—	—
14:15	36% 17:15 17:45 17:30	50% 17:15 18:30 19:15 17:30	50% 17:15 21:45 19:45	33% 17:15 19:15 21:00	50% 17:15 21:45 17:30 20:15	—	—
14:30	55% 17:30 21:30 20:45 17:45	50% 17:30 18:30 19:30	42% 17:30 21:45	42% 17:30 19:15 21:00	67% 17:30 17:45 22:00 20:15	—	—
14:45	55% 17:45 21:30 20:45 18:00 18:30	42% 17:45 18:30 19:30	33% 17:45 19:30 21:45	33% 17:45 19:45 21:30 19:30	58% 17:45 22:00 19:00 20:15	—	—
15:00	45% 18:00 21:30 20:45 18:15	42% 18:00 19:30	33% 19:30 21:30 18:15 18:00	33% 18:15 19:45 21:30 19:30	58% 18:00 21:15 22:00 19:00 18:45 20:15	—	—
15:15	45% 18:15 19:15 19:30 18:30	42% 18:15 19:00 19:15 18:30	33% 20:00 21:30 18:15 18:45	33% 18:15 19:45 21:30 19:30	42% 21:15 19:00 18:45 18:15 20:15	—	—
15:30	55% 18:30 19:15 19:30 18:45	42% 18:30	58% 18:30 19:30 19:00 20:00	42% 18:45 19:15 19:45 21:00 19:30	50% 18:45 21:15 20:30 18:30 19:15	—	—
15:45	27% 18:45 20:15	58% 18:45 19:00 21:15	58% 19:00 18:45 20:00 21:30	50% 18:45 19:15 20:00 19:30 20:15	58% 18:45 19:15 19:45	—	—
16:00	27% 19:00	25% 19:00 19:45	50% 19:00 19:30 21:30	42% 19:15 19:00 20:45 19:30	58% 19:00 20:45 19:15 20:15 19:30	—	—
16:15	36% 19:15 20:15	33% 19:15 21:15 19:45	50% 19:15 19:30 21:00 21:45	42% 19:15 20:15 19:30	58% 19:15 19:30 21:15 20:15	—	—
16:30	27% 19:30 20:15	33% 21:15 19:45 21:30 19:30	50% 19:30 21:00 21:45	50% 19:30 21:45 20:15	67% 19:30 21:15 20:15 19:45	—	—
16:45	36% 19:45 20:15 20:45	33% 19:45 21:15	67% 19:45 20:00 20:30 20:45 21:00 21:45	50% 19:45 21:15 21:45 20:00	67% 19:45 20:15	—	—
17:00	36% 20:00 20:45	50% 20:00 21:15 21:30 22:00	67% 20:00 20:30 22:00 20:45 21:30 21:45	58% 20:00 21:45 21:15 21:30 20:15	42% 20:00 20:15	—	—
17:15	27% 20:15 20:30	42% 21:15 20:15 21:30	67% 20:15 21:00 20:30 22:00 21:45	50% 20:15 21:15 21:30 21:45	42% 20:15	—	—
17:30	27% 20:30	42% 21:30 21:15 22:00 20:30	67% 20:30 21:00 22:00 21:15 20:45	42% 20:30 21:15 21:30 21:45	42% 20:30 21:30 21:45	—	—
17:45	18% 20:45	50% 21:15 22:00 20:45 21:30	58% 20:45 22:00 21:15 21:00	36% 20:45 21:15 21:00	25% 20:45 21:30	—	—
18:00	18% 21:00	58% 21:15 21:30 22:00 21:00 21:45	50% 21:00 22:00 21:30	45% 21:00 21:15 21:45 21:30	25% 21:00 21:30	—	—
18:15	9% 22:00	50% 21:30 21:15 22:00 21:45	33% 21:15 22:00	36% 21:30 21:15 21:45	17% 21:30 22:00	—	—
18:30	27% 21:30 22:00	58% 21:30 22:00	25% 22:00 21:30	27% 21:30 21:45	8% 21:30	—	—
18:45	45% 21:45 22:00	42% 21:45	50% 22:00 21:45	45% 21:45	25% 21:45	—	—
19:00	45% 22:00	33% 22:00	25% 22:00	27% 22:00	25% 22:00	—	—
19:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).