IA19XDX15 25.1128 23H06 YHFI DXY 15min.csv

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Δ1m0.0%Δ3m2.2%Δ1y2.2%

Ranking proba×distance — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	EV	n
P	99.37	59%	0.0667	0.0796	50
FIB62	99.36	59%	0.0983	0.0908	50
FIB50	99.35	59%	0.1000	0.0957	50
FIB79	99.38	59%	0.1107	0.0904	50
FIB38	99.34	56%	0.1118	0.1048	50
FIB24	99.32	56%	0.1556	0.1269	50
R1	99.43	54%	0.2000	0.1239	50
S1	99.33	40%	0.2667	0.1022	50
R2	99.47	26%	0.4167	0.1143	50
S2	99.27	19%	0.5000	0.0822	50
R3	99.53	15%	0.6667	0.0971	50
S3	99.23	5%	0.7333	0.0219	50
PCT_99	98.41	1%	0.7965	-0.0096	50
PCT_98	97.41	1%	1.7930	0.0019	50
PCT_97	96.42	1%	2.7895	0.0133	50
PCT_95	94.43	1%	4.7775	0.0361	50
PCT_90	89.46	1%	9.7200	0.0931	50
PCT_85	84.49	1%	14.6625	0.1501	50
PCT_80	79.52	1%	19.6400	0.2072	50

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	EV	n
FIB79	99.38	59%	0.2214	0.0904	50
FIB50	99.35	59%	0.2500	0.0957	50
P	99.37	59%	0.2667	0.0796	50
FIB62	99.36	59%	0.2691	0.0908	50
FIB38	99.34	56%	0.2545	0.1048	50
R1	99.43	54%	0.2667	0.1239	50
FIB24	99.32	56%	0.2764	0.1269	50
S1	99.33	40%	0.2333	0.1022	50
R2	99.47	26%	0.4167	0.1143	50
S2	99.27	19%	0.5000	0.0822	50
R3	99.53	15%	0.6333	0.0971	50
S3	99.23	5%	0.7333	0.0219	50
PCT_99	98.41	1%	0.7960	-0.0096	50
PCT_98	97.41	1%	1.7920	0.0019	50
PCT_97	96.42	1%	2.7880	0.0133	50
PCT_95	94.43	1%	4.7800	0.0361	50
PCT_90	89.46	1%	9.7600	0.0931	50
PCT_85	84.49	1%	14.7000	0.1501	50
PCT_80	79.52	1%	19.6400	0.2072	50

Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)									Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	00:00 (40%)	16:00 (20%)	06:15 (10%)	10:00 (10%)	13:30 (10%)	16:15 (10%)				00:00 (20%)	02:45 (10%)	04:00 (10%)	05:00 (10%)	09:30 (10%)	12:45 (10%)	13:45 (10%)	15:45 (10%)	21:45 (10%)
Mardi	02:00 (10%)	02:30 (10%)	04:45 (10%)	09:00 (10%)	09:30 (10%)	13:45 (10%)	14:15 (10%)	15:30 (10%)	17:00 (10%)	02:00 (20%)	03:45 (10%)	05:15 (10%)	05:45 (10%)	07:15 (10%)	10:30 (10%)	14:15 (10%)	16:30 (10%)	18:15 (10%)
Mercredi	02:00 (20%)	14:45 (20%)	12:15 (10%)	15:00 (10%)	16:00 (10%)	18:00 (10%)	20:15 (10%)	20:45 (10%)		02:00 (20%)	04:30 (20%)	01:00 (10%)	02:30 (10%)	06:30 (10%)	08:00 (10%)	08:30 (10%)	17:30 (10%)
Jeudi	02:00 (40%)	04:30 (20%)	13:45 (10%)	17:15 (10%)	20:00 (10%)	20:45 (10%)				02:00 (10%)	02:15 (10%)	02:30 (10%)	03:45 (10%)	04:45 (10%)	05:15 (10%)	10:45 (10%)	15:30 (10%)	17:30 (10%)
Vendredi	02:00 (27%)	07:15 (9%)	07:45 (9%)	11:15 (9%)	12:45 (9%)	13:45 (9%)	14:30 (9%)	15:15 (9%)	15:30 (9%)	16:00 (18%)	02:15 (9%)	06:00 (9%)	07:45 (9%)	09:15 (9%)	13:45 (9%)	14:30 (9%)	16:30 (9%)	16:45 (9%)

Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
02:00	100%	10	10
02:15	100%	10	10
02:30	100%	10	10
02:45	100%	10	10
03:00	100%	10	10
03:15	100%	10	10
03:30	100%	10	10
03:45	100%	10	10
04:00	100%	10	10
04:15	100%	10	10

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
04:30	100%	10	10
01:00	100%	1	1
01:15	100%	1	1
01:30	100%	1	1
01:45	100%	1	1
02:00	90%	10	9
02:15	90%	10	9
02:30	90%	10	9
02:45	90%	10	9
03:00	90%	10	9

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
03:15	100%	10	10
03:30	100%	10	10
03:45	100%	10	10
04:00	100%	10	10
04:15	100%	10	10
04:30	100%	10	10
04:45	100%	10	10
05:00	100%	10	10
05:15	100%	10	10
05:30	100%	10	10

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
02:00	100%	10	10
02:15	100%	10	10
02:30	100%	10	10
02:45	100%	10	10
08:45	100%	9	9
09:15	100%	9	9
09:30	100%	9	9
01:00	100%	1	1
01:15	100%	1	1
01:30	100%	1	1

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
02:00	100%	9	9
02:15	100%	9	9
02:30	100%	9	9
02:45	100%	9	9
03:00	100%	9	9
03:15	100%	9	9
03:30	100%	9	9
03:45	100%	9	9
04:00	100%	9	9
04:15	100%	9	9

Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
00:00	90% 03:00 09:00 08:15	—	—	—	—	—	—
00:15	90% 03:15 09:00 04:30 08:15	—	—	—	—	—	—
00:30	90% 03:30 08:00 09:00 04:30 08:15	—	—	—	—	—	—
00:45	90% 03:45 08:00 09:00 04:30 08:15	—	—	—	—	—	—
01:00	90% 04:00 08:00 05:45 09:00 04:30 04:15	100% 04:00	100% 04:00	100% 04:15	100% 04:00	—	—
01:15	90% 04:15 08:00 05:45 08:15	100% 04:15	100% 15:45	100% 04:15	100% 04:15	—	—
01:30	90% 04:30 08:15 08:00 05:45	100% 04:30	100% 15:45	100% 04:30	100% 04:30	—	—
01:45	90% 04:45 08:15 05:45 09:00	100% 04:45	100% 15:45	100% 04:45	100% 04:45	—	—
02:00	100% 05:00 08:15 08:45 05:45 09:00 09:15	90% 05:00 07:30	80% 05:00 15:00 15:45 09:45	100% 05:00 07:15 08:00 06:30 06:45 09:30	100% 05:00 12:45 08:30 09:15 09:30	—	—
02:15	100% 05:15 08:15 08:45 05:45 09:00 10:15	90% 05:15 07:30 08:30	80% 05:15 15:00 15:45 08:15	100% 05:15 07:15 07:30 06:45 09:30	100% 05:15 12:45 09:15 09:30	—	—
02:30	100% 05:30 08:15 08:45 05:45 10:15	90% 05:30 07:30 08:30 07:45	80% 05:30 15:00 15:45 08:15	100% 05:30 07:15 07:30 09:30	100% 05:30 09:15 09:30 11:15	—	—
02:45	100% 05:45 08:45 10:15 08:15	90% 05:45 07:30 06:30 08:30 07:45	80% 05:45 15:00 15:45 06:15 08:15	100% 05:45 07:15 07:30	100% 05:45 09:30	—	—
03:00	100% 06:00 08:45 06:30 08:15	90% 06:00 08:00 07:30	90% 06:00 06:15 15:00	90% 06:00 06:30	100% 06:00 11:15	—	—
03:15	100% 06:15 08:45 08:15 06:30	90% 06:15 07:30 08:00	100% 06:15 09:30 08:00	90% 06:15 06:30	100% 06:15 11:15	—	—
03:30	100% 06:30 08:45 08:15	90% 06:30 07:30 08:00 07:45	100% 06:30 12:00 08:00	90% 06:30 07:15	100% 06:30 11:15 06:45	—	—
03:45	100% 06:45 08:45 08:15	80% 07:30 06:45 08:00 07:45	100% 06:45 12:00 08:00	90% 06:45 07:15 16:15	100% 06:45 07:45 11:15	—	—
04:00	100% 07:00 08:45 17:00	80% 07:00 07:30 08:00 07:45	100% 07:00 12:00 08:00 07:15	90% 07:00 16:15	100% 07:00 07:45 09:00 07:15	—	—
04:15	100% 07:15 17:00	80% 07:15 07:30 08:00 07:45	100% 07:15 08:00 12:00	90% 07:15 07:45	100% 07:15 07:45 09:00 08:00	—	—
04:30	100% 07:30 17:00	100% 07:30 07:45 08:00	100% 07:30 12:00 08:00 07:45	90% 07:30 08:15 07:45	100% 07:30 07:45 09:00 08:00	—	—
04:45	100% 07:45 17:00	90% 07:45 08:00 08:30	100% 07:45 08:00 12:00	90% 07:45 08:15	100% 07:45 09:00 10:00 08:00	—	—
05:00	100% 08:00 17:00	90% 08:00 08:30 09:45	100% 08:00 12:00	90% 08:00 08:15	100% 08:00 09:00 10:00	—	—
05:15	100% 08:15 17:00 08:45	80% 08:15 08:30 15:00 09:45	100% 08:15 12:00	70% 08:15	100% 08:15 09:00 10:00	—	—
05:30	90% 08:30 17:00 08:45 09:15	80% 08:30 15:00 08:45	100% 08:30 12:00	70% 08:30	100% 08:30 09:00 10:00	—	—
05:45	90% 08:45 09:00 09:15	80% 08:45 15:00 16:30	100% 08:45 09:00 12:00 10:00 14:15	60% 08:45 09:45	100% 08:45 10:00	—	—
06:00	90% 09:00 09:30 09:15	80% 09:00 15:00 16:30 09:30 09:45	100% 09:00 12:00 09:15 10:00 14:15	67% 09:00 09:45	100% 09:00 10:00 09:30	—	—
06:15	70% 09:15 09:30 10:15	80% 09:15 15:00 16:30 09:30 09:45	90% 09:15 12:00 14:15	67% 09:15 14:30 09:45 09:30	100% 09:15 10:00 09:30	—	—
06:30	70% 09:30	80% 09:30 15:00 16:30	90% 09:30 13:45 14:15	67% 09:30 14:30 09:45	100% 09:30 10:00	—	—
06:45	70% 09:45 15:45 10:30 17:00	80% 09:45 15:00 16:30 11:15	80% 09:45 13:45 14:15	67% 09:45 11:00 14:30	89% 09:45 10:00 13:30	—	—
07:00	80% 10:00 15:45 10:30 17:00 10:15	80% 10:00 15:00 16:30 11:15 10:15	80% 10:00 10:15 16:00 14:15	67% 10:00 11:00 14:30 11:45	89% 10:00 13:30	—	—
07:15	80% 10:15 15:45 10:30 17:00	70% 10:15 15:00 16:30 11:15	80% 10:15 17:00 14:15	67% 10:15 14:30 11:45	78% 10:15 11:00	—	—
07:30	80% 10:30 15:45 17:00	78% 10:30 15:00 11:15 12:00	80% 10:30 17:00 12:45 14:15	78% 10:30 14:30 11:45 12:15	78% 10:30 10:45	—	—
07:45	80% 10:45 15:45 14:30 17:00 11:15	70% 10:45 15:00 16:30 12:00	90% 10:45 17:00 12:45 13:00 14:15	67% 10:45 14:30 11:45 12:15	67% 10:45 11:00 13:00	—	—
08:00	80% 11:00 14:45 14:30 17:00 11:15	70% 11:00 12:00 11:30 16:30	90% 11:00 11:30 16:00 12:45 13:00 14:15	78% 11:00 14:30 11:45 12:15	67% 11:00 13:00	—	—
08:15	80% 11:15 14:45 14:30 17:00	70% 12:00 11:15 11:30 15:15 13:00	90% 11:15 11:30 16:00 12:15 12:45 13:00	78% 11:15 14:30 11:45 12:15	67% 11:15 13:00	—	—
08:30	70% 11:30 14:45 14:30 17:00	70% 11:30 12:00 13:00	90% 11:30 16:00 12:15 12:45 13:00	89% 11:30 14:30 11:45 12:45 12:15	56% 11:30 13:00	—	—
08:45	70% 11:45 14:45 14:30 17:00 13:00 16:00	70% 11:45 12:00 13:00	90% 11:45 14:15 17:15 16:00 12:15 12:45 13:00	100% 11:45 14:30 12:15	56% 11:45 13:00	—	—
09:00	80% 12:00 14:45 14:30 17:00	90% 12:00 12:15 13:00	90% 12:00 12:15 14:15 17:15 16:00 12:45 13:00	89% 12:00 12:15	56% 12:00	—	—
09:15	90% 12:15 13:00 14:45 14:30	90% 12:15 13:00	90% 12:15 14:15 12:45 13:00 12:30	100% 12:15 12:45 14:30 12:30	67% 12:15 12:30	—	—
09:30	90% 12:30 13:00 14:30	70% 12:30 13:00	90% 12:30 12:45	100% 12:30 12:45 14:15 14:30	78% 12:30	—	—
09:45	90% 12:45 13:00 14:30	70% 12:45 13:00	90% 12:45 17:15	89% 12:45 14:15 14:30	78% 12:45 13:00	—	—
10:00	100% 13:00 13:15 13:45 14:30	80% 13:00	90% 13:00 14:15 19:00	89% 13:00 14:15 14:30 13:30	78% 13:00 13:30	—	—
10:15	100% 13:15 13:45 14:30 15:00	80% 13:15 13:30 14:00 15:00	90% 13:15 14:15 13:30	89% 13:15 14:30 14:15 13:30	78% 13:15 14:15 13:30	—	—
10:30	100% 13:30 15:45 13:45 15:00	80% 13:30 14:00 15:00	90% 13:30 14:15	89% 13:30 14:30 14:15	78% 13:30 14:15 16:00	—	—
10:45	100% 13:45 15:45 15:00	80% 14:00 15:15 13:45 14:45 15:00	90% 13:45 14:15	89% 13:45 14:30 15:30	67% 13:45 14:15 16:00	—	—
11:00	100% 14:00 15:45	80% 14:00 15:15 14:45 15:00	90% 14:00 14:15	78% 14:00 15:30 14:30	67% 14:00 14:15 16:00	—	—
11:15	90% 14:15 15:45	80% 14:15 15:15 14:45 15:00 16:45 14:30	90% 14:15 14:30	78% 14:30 14:15 15:30	67% 14:15 16:00	—	—
11:30	90% 14:30 15:45 16:30 15:30	90% 14:30 15:15 14:45 16:00 22:45 16:45	90% 14:30 16:15	78% 14:30 15:30	67% 14:30 16:00	—	—
11:45	90% 14:45 15:45 16:00 15:30 15:15	80% 14:45 16:00 15:00 15:15 22:45 16:45	90% 14:45 16:15 17:30 15:30	67% 14:45 15:00 15:30	67% 14:45 15:45 16:00 15:00	—	—
12:00	90% 15:00 15:45 16:00 15:30	80% 15:00 15:15 22:45 16:45	90% 15:00 16:15 15:45 15:30	56% 15:00 15:30	56% 15:00 15:45 16:45	—	—
12:15	80% 15:15 15:45 16:00 15:30	80% 15:15 15:30 22:45 16:45	80% 15:15 15:30 16:15 15:45	44% 15:15 15:30 16:15	67% 15:15 15:45 20:45 16:45	—	—
12:30	80% 15:30 16:00 15:45 17:00	80% 15:30 16:30 22:45 16:45	70% 15:30 15:45 17:15 19:00	56% 15:30 16:15	67% 16:00 15:30 15:45 20:45	—	—
12:45	80% 15:45 20:00 16:00 17:00	80% 15:45 16:30 22:45 16:45	70% 15:45 16:15 19:00	33% 15:45 16:15	67% 15:45 16:00 20:45	—	—
13:00	90% 16:00 20:00 18:15 17:45 17:00	80% 16:00 16:30 22:45	80% 16:00 16:30 16:15 19:00 18:00	33% 16:00 16:15	78% 16:00 16:45 20:45 17:00	—	—
13:15	80% 16:15 20:00 18:15 17:45 17:00	80% 16:15 22:45 16:45	80% 16:15 16:30 19:00 18:00	33% 16:15	78% 16:15 16:30 16:45 20:45 17:00	—	—
13:30	80% 16:30 20:00 17:45 18:45 17:00	80% 16:30 17:00 22:45 16:45	80% 16:30 16:45 19:00 18:00	33% 16:30	67% 16:30 16:45 20:45 17:15 17:00	—	—
13:45	80% 16:45 17:00 17:45 18:45	70% 16:45 17:00 22:45	70% 16:45 19:00 18:00	44% 16:45 20:45	67% 16:45 20:45 18:00	—	—
14:00	80% 17:00 17:45 18:45	80% 17:00 22:45 17:45	70% 17:00 19:00 18:00 17:15	33% 17:00 20:45 18:30	67% 17:00 19:45 17:15 20:45	—	—
14:15	80% 17:15 17:45 18:45	80% 17:15 17:30 19:30 17:45	50% 17:15 18:15 17:45	44% 17:15 20:45 18:30	67% 17:15 17:30 19:45 18:00	—	—
14:30	70% 17:30 18:45	70% 17:30 17:45	60% 17:45 20:30 19:15 18:15 17:30	44% 17:30	67% 17:30 18:00	—	—
14:45	70% 17:45 18:45	80% 17:45 18:30 19:30	40% 17:45 20:30 18:15	56% 17:45	67% 17:45 18:00	—	—
15:00	70% 18:00 18:45 19:00	80% 18:00 18:30 18:15 19:30	40% 18:00 20:30 18:15	56% 18:00 18:15	78% 18:00 19:00	—	—
15:15	80% 18:15 18:45 19:00	80% 18:15 19:30	40% 18:15 20:30	33% 18:15	78% 18:15 19:00	—	—
15:30	70% 18:30 19:00	90% 18:30 19:30 21:30	40% 18:30 19:15	56% 18:30 19:15 20:45	60% 18:30 19:00	—	—
15:45	70% 18:45 19:00	90% 18:45 20:15 19:30 21:30	40% 18:45 19:15	56% 18:45 20:45	60% 18:45 19:00 19:15	—	—
16:00	90% 19:00	90% 19:00 19:30	60% 19:00 20:30 19:15 19:30	56% 19:00 20:45	70% 19:00	—	—
16:15	80% 19:15	70% 19:15 20:00	80% 19:15 20:30 20:15 20:00 19:30	67% 19:15 20:15 20:45	80% 19:15 22:30	—	—
16:30	70% 19:30	90% 19:30 22:15 20:00	80% 19:30 20:30 20:15 20:00	67% 19:30 20:15	80% 19:30	—	—
16:45	70% 19:45 20:45	90% 19:45 22:15 20:00	80% 19:45 20:30 20:15	67% 19:45 20:15	80% 19:45 22:30	—	—
17:00	80% 20:00 20:45	70% 20:00 22:15 20:30	80% 20:00 20:30 20:15	89% 20:00 21:15 22:00 20:15	90% 20:00 20:30 22:30	—	—
17:15	80% 20:15 20:45 20:30	60% 20:15 22:15 20:30	80% 20:15 20:30 22:45	78% 20:15 21:15	90% 20:15 20:30 22:30	—	—
17:30	60% 20:30 20:45	60% 20:30 22:15 21:30	90% 20:30 22:45	78% 20:30 21:15	70% 20:30 20:45	—	—
17:45	60% 20:45	70% 20:45 21:30	70% 20:45 22:45	56% 20:45 21:15 22:00	70% 20:45	—	—
18:00	60% 21:00	60% 21:00 21:30	50% 21:00 22:15 22:45	67% 21:00 21:15 22:00	80% 21:00 21:15 21:30	—	—
18:15	70% 21:15 22:15 21:30	70% 21:15 21:30	40% 21:15 22:15	67% 21:15 21:30 22:00	80% 21:15 21:30	—	—
18:30	60% 21:30 22:15	70% 21:30	40% 21:30 22:15	78% 21:30 21:45 22:00	70% 21:30	—	—
18:45	70% 21:45	60% 21:45 22:00	50% 21:45 22:15	78% 21:45 22:00	70% 21:45 22:30	—	—
19:00	80% 22:00	50% 22:00 22:15 22:45	50% 22:00 22:45	78% 22:00	67% 22:00 22:30	—	—
19:15	80% 22:15	50% 22:15 22:45	50% 22:15 22:45	78% 22:15	78% 22:15 22:30	—	—
19:30	90% 22:30	60% 22:30 22:45	40% 22:30 22:45	78% 22:30 22:45	78% 22:30	—	—
19:45	90% 22:45	60% 22:45	30% 22:45	78% 22:45	56% 22:45	—	—
20:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
22:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).