IA19XNV15 25.1128 23H06 YHFI NVIDIA 15min.csv

Europe/Paris · Dimanche exclu · Tolérance = 20% du range médian de J · Calibration rolling isotonic (fenêtre 120 jours).

EV : TP = distance au centre de la Value Area (15–85%), SL = κ×tolérance (κ = 1.50).

Δ1m-15%Δ3m6.0%Δ1y6.0%

Ranking proba×distance — Open vs Prix actuel

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Open	Score proba/dist	EV	n
P	180.4	53%	2.2000	0.1401	1.6238	59
FIB50	180.6	52%	2.3000	0.1339	1.6816	59
FIB38	180	51%	2.2462	0.1337	1.6813	59
FIB62	181.1	46%	2.1100	0.1274	1.5220	59
PCT_99	181.1	54%	2.6300	0.1260	1.8783	59
FIB79	181.9	50%	2.3988	0.1249	1.7673	59
FIB24	179.3	46%	2.3912	0.1158	1.6537	59
PCT_98	179.2	45%	2.3480	0.1152	1.6094	59
R1	182.7	48%	2.6000	0.1137	1.7904	59
S1	178	44%	3.2000	0.0871	1.6867	59
PCT_97	177.4	34%	3.2560	0.0674	1.3861	59
R2	185.1	27%	4.2667	0.0432	1.5507	59
S2	175.7	25%	5.3667	0.0319	1.3723	59
R3	187.4	22%	6.5667	0.0242	1.6662	59
S3	173.3	22%	8.0667	0.0200	1.7850	59
PCT_95	173.8	18%	6.8600	0.0184	1.0354	59
PCT_90	164.6	12%	15.7900	0.0057	1.7107	59
PCT_85	155.5	11%	25.2850	0.0035	2.6773	59
PCT_80	146.3	11%	34.6400	0.0026	3.7181	59

Niveau	Niveau (J-1 actuel)	p calibrée	Distance méd. vs Prix actuel	Score proba/dist	EV	n
FIB50	180.6	52%	2.7500	0.1169	1.6816	59
P	180.4	53%	2.8667	0.1146	1.6238	59
FIB38	180	51%	2.9302	0.1092	1.6813	59
R1	182.7	48%	3.0667	0.1000	1.7904	59
FIB62	181.1	46%	2.9900	0.0979	1.5220	59
PCT_99	181.1	54%	3.7820	0.0943	1.8783	59
PCT_98	179.2	45%	3.2420	0.0897	1.6094	59
FIB79	181.9	50%	3.8086	0.0867	1.7673	59
FIB24	179.3	46%	3.5456	0.0850	1.6537	59
S1	178	44%	4.0000	0.0726	1.6867	59
PCT_97	177.4	34%	4.2970	0.0537	1.3861	59
R2	185.1	27%	4.6333	0.0403	1.5507	59
S2	175.7	25%	5.4667	0.0314	1.3723	59
S3	173.3	22%	7.5000	0.0213	1.7850	59
R3	187.4	22%	7.7667	0.0208	1.6662	59
PCT_95	173.8	18%	7.0800	0.0179	1.0354	59
PCT_90	164.6	12%	16.0600	0.0056	1.7107	59
PCT_85	155.5	11%	25.0400	0.0035	2.6773	59
PCT_80	146.3	11%	34.0200	0.0026	3.7181	59

Extrêmes intraday — horaires probables (High / Low)

Pour chaque jour de la semaine, on affiche les 9 horaires les plus fréquents où le High et le Low de la journée surviennent. Le % est rapporté au nombre de jours de ce weekday.

Jour	High — Top 9 (%%)								Low — Top 9 (%%)
Lundi	15:45 (33%)	21:45 (25%)	16:00 (8%)	16:30 (8%)	18:15 (8%)	18:45 (8%)	19:00 (8%)		15:30 (42%)	15:15 (8%)	15:45 (8%)	16:45 (8%)	17:30 (8%)	21:00 (8%)	21:15 (8%)	21:30 (8%)
Mardi	15:30 (42%)	21:45 (17%)	15:45 (8%)	16:00 (8%)	17:00 (8%)	18:45 (8%)	20:30 (8%)		15:30 (17%)	16:00 (17%)	16:30 (17%)	17:45 (17%)	21:45 (17%)	16:45 (8%)	21:30 (8%)
Mercredi	15:30 (42%)	17:00 (17%)	15:00 (8%)	15:45 (8%)	16:00 (8%)	16:30 (8%)	19:00 (8%)		15:30 (17%)	15:45 (8%)	16:00 (8%)	18:00 (8%)	18:30 (8%)	19:15 (8%)	19:30 (8%)	19:45 (8%)	20:45 (8%)
Jeudi	15:30 (45%)	20:45 (18%)	14:30 (9%)	15:45 (9%)	16:30 (9%)	18:00 (9%)			15:30 (27%)	15:45 (18%)	14:30 (9%)	18:15 (9%)	18:30 (9%)	19:30 (9%)	19:45 (9%)	21:45 (9%)
Vendredi	15:30 (31%)	16:30 (15%)	21:15 (15%)	14:30 (8%)	16:45 (8%)	20:15 (8%)	20:45 (8%)	21:45 (8%)	15:30 (38%)	17:00 (15%)	16:15 (8%)	16:30 (8%)	17:30 (8%)	18:00 (8%)	19:45 (8%)	21:45 (8%)

Top 10 par jour de la semaine (proba de retouche O/C ≥ 3h)

Lundi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
14:30	100%	1	1
14:45	100%	1	1
15:00	100%	1	1
17:15	83%	12	10
15:30	67%	12	8
16:15	67%	12	8
16:30	67%	12	8
17:00	67%	12	8
17:30	67%	12	8
15:45	58%	12	7

Mardi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
14:30	100%	1	1
14:45	100%	1	1
15:00	100%	1	1
15:30	58%	12	7
15:45	50%	12	6
16:00	42%	12	5
16:30	42%	12	5
16:45	42%	12	5
17:00	42%	12	5
17:15	42%	12	5

Mercredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
14:30	100%	1	1
16:30	83%	12	10
16:15	75%	12	9
16:45	75%	12	9
17:30	75%	12	9
17:45	75%	12	9
17:00	67%	12	8
17:15	67%	12	8
18:00	67%	12	8
15:30	58%	12	7

Jeudi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
14:30	100%	1	1
14:45	100%	1	1
15:00	100%	1	1
15:15	100%	1	1
16:30	82%	11	9
18:45	82%	11	9
16:45	73%	11	8
18:30	73%	11	8
17:00	64%	11	7
17:30	64%	11	7

Vendredi — Créneau	Proba	n	k
15:45	58%	12	7
16:00	58%	12	7
17:30	58%	12	7
15:30	50%	12	6
17:15	50%	12	6
17:45	50%	12	6
16:45	42%	12	5
18:30	42%	12	5
16:15	33%	12	4
16:30	33%	12	4

Heatmap HH:MM × Jour — Proba de retouche O/C (≥ 3h)

Chaque cellule = % de bougies retouchées (≥ +3h). Après le %, on affiche les trois horaires de première retouche les plus probables pour ce jour.

HH:MM	Lun	Mar	Mer	Jeu	Ven	Sam	Dim
14:30	100% 17:30	100% 17:30	100% 18:00	100% 17:30	0%	—	—
14:45	100% 17:45	100% 17:45	0%	100% 17:45	0%	—	—
15:00	100% 18:15	100% 18:00	0%	100% 18:00	0%	—	—
15:15	0%	0%	0%	100% 18:30	0%	—	—
15:30	67% 18:30 18:45 21:00 19:15 20:15	58% 18:30 18:45 21:30	58% 18:30 20:15 19:00 21:30 18:45	45% 18:30 21:45 19:15	50% 18:30 19:15 20:45 19:00	—	—
15:45	58% 18:45 21:00 19:15 20:15	50% 18:45 21:30	58% 18:45 19:00 20:00 21:00	45% 18:45 19:00 21:30	58% 19:15 18:45 21:45 19:45 19:30	—	—
16:00	58% 19:00 21:00 20:15 19:15	42% 19:00 20:00 19:15 21:45	50% 19:30 20:00 21:00 19:00 21:15	55% 19:00 21:45 19:45	58% 19:00 19:45 20:15 21:45	—	—
16:15	67% 19:15 19:30 21:00 20:15	33% 19:15 19:30 21:45	75% 19:15 19:45 21:30 19:30 21:45 20:30 21:15	55% 19:15 21:45 19:30	33% 19:15 21:45 19:45	—	—
16:30	67% 19:30 19:45 20:15	42% 19:30 21:45	83% 19:30 19:45 21:00 20:30 21:15	82% 19:30 20:00 21:45 20:15 21:30	33% 19:30 21:45	—	—
16:45	50% 19:45 20:00 20:15	42% 19:45 21:45	75% 19:45 20:00 21:00 20:45	73% 20:30 19:45 20:00 21:45 20:15	42% 19:45 21:45	—	—
17:00	67% 20:00 20:15 21:45 20:30	42% 20:00 21:45 21:30	67% 20:00 21:30	64% 20:15 20:00 20:30	25% 20:00 21:45	—	—
17:15	83% 20:15 20:30 21:45	42% 20:15 20:30	67% 20:15 20:45 20:30	45% 20:15 21:45	50% 20:15 21:00 21:45	—	—
17:30	67% 20:30	42% 20:30 21:45	75% 20:30 20:45 21:30	64% 21:45 20:30 21:15 21:00 20:45	58% 20:30 20:45 21:30	—	—
17:45	58% 20:45 21:30 21:00	42% 20:45	75% 20:45 21:30	64% 21:45 20:45 21:00	50% 20:45	—	—
18:00	42% 21:00 21:45 21:15	42% 21:00 21:45	67% 21:00	64% 21:45 21:00 21:15	33% 21:00	—	—
18:15	33% 21:45 21:15	42% 21:45 21:15	42% 21:15	64% 21:15 21:45 21:30	33% 21:15 21:45	—	—
18:30	42% 21:45	42% 21:45 21:30	50% 21:30 21:45	73% 21:30 21:45	42% 21:30 21:45	—	—
18:45	50% 21:45	42% 21:45	42% 21:45	82% 21:45	33% 21:45	—	—
19:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
19:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
20:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:15	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:30	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—
21:45	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	—	—

Score = p_calibrée / (1 + distance / range_médian). Plus haut ⇒ meilleur compromis proximité × probabilité. « Niveau (J-1 actuel) » = valeur du niveau calculée sur le dernier J-1 (par rapport au jour J le plus récent du fichier).